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Price opinion from advertisements and recorded sales. Not an inspection or a certified valuation.
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Reference photograph of a Ford Focus XR5 Turbo
Valuation · Ford · LT/LV · 2006-11

Ford Focus XR5 Turbo

2.5L turbo inline five · 166 kW / 320 Nm · 6sp manual · FWD
AVOIDRated within the under $30k band · 41 of 46 at this money
Model value
$14,500
Must gain each year to break even
+18.1%
The projection does not clear it, and nor does most of the library.
CarQuant score
34/100
Scored against the under $30k band, not the whole library
Evidence grade
Thin
One to three recorded Australian sales
$14,500
$9,809 lowhigh $18,686
Modelled estimate
No recorded Australian sale stands behind this figure. Treat the level as indicative and the structure as the analysis.
Measured across this library, a value resting on a single Australian result runs high about six times in ten, by a median of five per cent.

Looking at a Focus for sale?

Put in the asking price and the odometer reading. You will see what this model should make at that reading.

Should make, typical example
$14,500
At about 175,000 km. Enter an asking price to compare.

Odometer only. Colour, options, history, condition and the photographs move it further, and that is what the report reads.

A person reads the advertisement and its photographs. Usually back within 48 hours. Read a real listing report

Price history

Today $14,500 · modelled median at five years $15,357
Solid line: the value this library has carriedDashed from 2026: modelled · even money $12,439 to $17,108
The green band is the even-money range and the one to plan on: half of outcomes land inside it. The pale band behind it bounds eight in ten ($9,809 to $18,686). The path is this model's own: it starts along the momentum of its recorded history and bends toward its projected median as the horizon lengthens, so no two cars share a future curve.

The verdict

The numbers argue against it. Scores 34/100, ranking 41 of 46 in the under $30k band. Liquidity is the strongest input, ownership economics the weakest.
Running it costs about $3,390 a year (23.4% of value), which is what the economics score measures. All in, including the projected value change, it is $3,445 a year.
The model's five year median is $15,357, a +5.9% move, with the tenth percentile at $9,809.
Value calibrated to a thin record. Treat the level as provisional.
Evidence
Thin1 recorded sale
Off its peak
at peak
Value band
wide
No external evidence. A modelled estimate whose structure is more useful than its level.
Scored against every recent Australian sale this library holds, half its values land within 11.2 per cent of the price paid and the rest miss by more, in either direction. Projections are therefore damped toward flat in proportion to how little is known, and the plausible band is never narrower than the error the model is known to make.
Short term (1-5 years)$3,445 a year all in, +5.9% median value move
Long term (10-15 years)Scarcity requires a decade of attrition
Negotiate from$14,500

Recorded sales

Every recorded observation, and when
1 row on record
Every row, with its price and note (1) ↓
Aug 2021Collecting Cars$18,000Sold
SOLD. 18 Aug 2021, Rouse Hill NSW, 91,259km. 2010 car first registered April 2010, Ford Performance Blue with white GT stripes, black Nappa leather heated Recaros, carbon trim, sports gauge package, 18-inch alloys on Bridgestones fitted 2019. ORIGINAL AND UNMODIFIED with no known body damage, comprehensive Sinclair Ford logbook history to 85,000km in August 2020, original brochure, owner’s manual, service book, three keys, unused spare and tool kit. Clean registration inspection March 2021. The only Australian result on record for the model
1 completed Australian sale of 1 rows. Rows marked asking, no sale, or context are shown for honesty but do not count toward the evidence grade: an ask is not a transaction, a pass-in is a refusal, and a provenance or overseas result does not price the ordinary local car. The badge on every row is computed by the same rule as the grade, so the two cannot drift apart.

Score breakdown

Against the under $30k band median
46 cars in band · ink tick marks the median
Ownership economics30% of total
22/100-13
Scarcity25% of total
22/100-19
Demand durability20% of total
47/100-9
Liquidity15% of total
63/100+4
Risk resilience10% of total
30/100-7
Sub-scores run 0-100 before weighting; the weighted total is 34/100. Medians are computed live from the 46 cars currently in the under $30k band, so this picture moves when the library does.
The working behind each factor: baseline and drivers ↓
Ownership economics30% weight
22/100
Baseline80 pts
− 23.4% of value a year to run-58 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)22 pts
Scarcity25% weight
22/100
Baseline20 pts
+ 3,100 estimated registered in Australia, still relatively common+2 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)22 pts
Demand durability20% weight
47/100
Baseline35 pts
+ Warm-hatch cult following, five-cylinder engine note valued+12 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)47 pts
Liquidity15% weight
63/100
Baseline45 pts
+ Reasonably active market, 32 days on market+18 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)63 pts
Risk resilience10% weight
30/100
Baseline45 pts
− Known clutch and DMF wear points-10 pts
− Timing belt and coil pack failures if neglected-5 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)30 pts
Model output, not advice or a valuation. Verify independently before acting.

What it costs to own · about 10,000 km a year

Annual cost of access, excl. fuel
$3,390a year
Share of value per year
23.4%
Scheduled servicing$62018%
Tyres, annualised$56017%
Registration and CTP$78023%
Insurance$95028%
Sinking fund (failure table)$48014%
All-in annualised (a different number)
Purchase (model value plus duty)$15,080
Running costs × 5 years$16,950
Median exit, net of selling cost$14,807
All-in annualised over 5 years$3,445/yr
Share of value per year23.8%
Cost of access is what the car costs to run. All-in annualised adds depreciation, duty and selling costs across a five year hold. They answer different questions and are labelled separately for that reason.
Break-even appreciation, 5 year hold
18.1%a year, only to get the money back
This library projects
+1.2%a year
The projection falls 16.9 points a year short of the hurdle. On these assumptions this car is a cost, not an asset, which can be an entirely rational thing to buy but should be bought knowing it.
Purchase$14,500
Stamp duty$580
Running costs x 5 years$16,950
Selling cost at exit, 3.8% of the salescales with price
Sale price needed at +5 years$33,293
Storage
Bought at
No forecast is used to compute the hurdle. It is the purchase, the duty, any premium and 5 years of running cost, grossed up for the cost of selling and spread back over the hold. The projection it is measured against is the weakest number in this product and is drawn that way in the chart above. Transport, finance and any restoration spend sit outside it.

Specification

Engine2.5L turbo inline five
Power / torque166 kW / 320 Nm
0-100 km/h6.5 s
Transmission6sp manual
DriveFWD
Kerb weight1,408 kg
Built worldwide32,000
Delivered to Australia9,500
Effective AU survivors3,100
Australian sales / year420
Typical days on market32 days
Launch price$39,990

What moves the price on this model

Colour hierarchy
Panther Black+3%
Vitreous Blue+4%
White-1%
Options
Unmodified turbo five+6%
Heated leather Recaros+3%
GT stripes with the Recaro and carbon pack+5%
Full Ford logbook history+6%
Original paint, no repaired panels+4%
Odometer sensitivity±1.2% per 10,000 km vs 175,000 km
Applied on top of these

Condition, history, originality, ownership, delivery and modification multipliers apply to every car in the library. They are applied automatically when an advertisement is analysed, and the schedule is set out once, on the analyser page.

Projected value in five years

Projected value at five years
$15,357
+5.9% on today
The model's figure. Today it is $14,500.
Even odds it lands between $12,439 and $17,108.
$9,809 lowhigh $18,686
The shaded range is even money and 38% wide; the outer figures bound eight outcomes in ten. Band width follows the evidence - a model with a tight measured record carries a tight band.
A weaker five year outlook than 51% of the library.
-26.6% weakest projected move in the librarystrongest +73.1%
Five-year cost of ownership
Value change alone: +$857 across five years.
Running costs over the same period: $16,950.
Duty and expected selling costs: $1,130.
Net cost of five years of ownership: $17,225, or $3,445 a year.
The projected value rise offsets part of the running cost. It does not make the car free to own.

The case for and against

The case for

The five-cylinder turbo engine gives it a distinct character among hot hatches and values have crept up steadily since 2016. It sells reasonably quickly at 32 days on market and running costs are low relative to European rivals.

The case against

At 3,100 estimated survivors it remains one of the more common cars in this segment, capping scarcity-driven upside. Clutch and dual-mass flywheel wear is a known issue that catches out buyers of neglected examples.

Known faults and risks

Risk 1Dual-mass flywheel wear
Risk 2Timing belt service history gaps
Risk 3Coil pack failures
Clutch/DMF replacement$1,800
Timing belt kit$950
Coil pack set$420

Similar cars, and what they cost to run

Evidence behind this valueThin · 1 recorded sale
Carried value
$14,500
Historical price
2016 · $9,2002026 · $14,500
Thin
No external evidence. A modelled estimate whose structure is more useful than its level.
One Australian result, and this record had none until now

$18,000 at Rouse Hill, New South Wales in August 2021 for a 2010 car at 91,259 kilometres - Performance Blue with the white GT stripes, heated leather Recaros, carbon trim and the sports gauge pack, with a Sinclair Ford logbook history, three original keys and an unused spare.

Read the rest of the evidence notes (3 more)
The value of $14,500 sits twenty per cent below that result and is not being raised on it

The sale is five years old, it is the best-specified and best-documented version of the car, and one transaction cannot separate what the model is worth from what that car was worth. A single result establishes a point, not a level.

The distance term is an assumption

At 1.2 per cent per 10,000 kilometres and this record does NOT claim to have measured it: one car cannot produce a slope.

What the XR5 is

A Volvo-derived 2.5-litre five-cylinder turbo in a Focus shell, sold here 2006-11. Australian cars were well specified and the Recaro-and-stripes combination is the one buyers ask for. SOURCING: read from the Collecting Cars lot page itself.

This page prices the model.
The report prices the car in the advertisement.

Send the link. A person reads the advertisement and its photographs and sends back what that Ford Focus XR5 Turbo is worth, what to offer and when to walk away, with five years of costs at the distance you drive.

Read a real listing report

The evidence on this model is thin and the report says so on its cover. Read a complete one on a real car first. Seventeen sections, no account, nothing to pay.

This model, today$14,500
Half of sales are further out than$1,621
The report$249
7×
the price of the report: what half of real sales of this model sit further from this page's number than, on this car
Watch this model
Told when the next one is called.

One line of email when this desk publishes a call on a Ford Focus XR5 Turbo, or records a new Australian sale of one. Nothing else, no schedule, and on a quiet model you may hear nothing for months, which is itself worth knowing about a car you are chasing.

Free. One address, one model, and no account.
Focus for sale?Priced by a person, $249