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Price opinion from advertisements and recorded sales. Not an inspection or a certified valuation.
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Reference photograph of a Volvo 240 Series 242 GT
Valuation · Volvo · two-door 242 · 1978-81

Volvo 240 Series 242 GT

2.3L NA fuel-injected inline four (B23E) · 103 kW / 190 Nm · 4sp manual with electric overdrive · RWD
CONSIDERRated within the under $30k band · 19 of 46 at this money
Research estimate
$25,000
Must gain each year to break even
+12.6%
The projection does not clear it, and nor does most of the library.
CarQuant score
47/100
Scored against the under $30k band, not the whole library
Evidence grade
Researched
No Australian transaction of any kind
$25,000
$15,655 lowhigh $40,646
Researched, no recorded transaction
No Australian result of any kind. The P1800 prices in the Shannons archive are a different and more collectible model and are not usable as comparables for this one.
Measured across this library, a value with no Australian result behind it runs high about seven times in ten, by a median of ten per cent. Read this one as a ceiling rather than a midpoint.

Looking at a 240 Series for sale?

Put in the asking price and the odometer reading. You will see what this model should make at that reading.

Should make, typical example
$25,000
At about 130,000 km. Enter an asking price to compare.

No Australian sale stands behind this value, so treat the figure as indicative.

We will not sell a report on this car. The check above stays free.

Price history

Today $25,000 · modelled median at five years $27,713
Solid line: the value this library has carriedDashed from 2026: modelled · even money $21,370 to $34,516
The green band is the even-money range and the one to plan on: half of outcomes land inside it. The pale band behind it bounds eight in ten ($15,655 to $40,646). The path is this model's own: it starts along the momentum of its recorded history and bends toward its projected median as the horizon lengthens, so no two cars share a future curve.

The verdict

A defensible case with reservations. Scores 47/100, ranking 19 of 46 in the under $30k band. Demand durability is the strongest input, risk resilience the weakest.
Running it costs about $3,610 a year (14.4% of value), which is what the economics score measures. All in, including the projected value change, it is $3,397 a year.
The model's five year median is $27,713, a +10.9% move, with the tenth percentile at $15,655.
Value is research, not a measurement. Treat the level as indicative and the structure as the analysis.
Evidence
Researched0 recorded sales
Off its peak
at peak
Value band
wide
An external source, but no itemised transactions. Indicative only.
Scored against every recent Australian sale this library holds, half its values land within 11.2 per cent of the price paid and the rest miss by more, in either direction. Projections are therefore damped toward flat in proportion to how little is known, and the plausible band is never narrower than the error the model is known to make.
Short term (1-5 years)$3,397 a year all in, +10.9% median value move
Long term (10-15 years)Scarcity case already formed
Negotiate from$25,000

Recorded sales

No individual sales are logged for this vehicle.
The value is supported by the aggregate evidence noted at the top of this report, but the underlying transactions are not itemised here.

Score breakdown

Against the under $30k band median
46 cars in band · ink tick marks the median
Ownership economics30% of total
48/100+13
Scarcity25% of total
61/100+20
Demand durability20% of total
66/100+10
Liquidity15% of total
28/100-31
Risk resilience10% of total
0/100-37
Sub-scores run 0-100 before weighting; the weighted total is 47/100. Medians are computed live from the 46 cars currently in the under $30k band, so this picture moves when the library does.
The working behind each factor: baseline and drivers ↓
Ownership economics30% weight
48/100
Baseline84 pts
− 14.4% of value a year to run-36 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)48 pts
Scarcity25% weight
61/100
Baseline20 pts
+ 80 survivors estimated in Australia+41 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)61 pts
Demand durability20% weight
66/100
Baseline52 pts
+ Sold new here through to 1981, a year longer than any other market+12 pts
+ Boxy Volvos have been among the strongest percentage risers since about 2020+12 pts
− A two-door 240 is a narrow taste and the badge carries no glamour-10 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)66 pts
Liquidity15% weight
28/100
Baseline12 pts
+ 120 days on market+8 pts
+ 6 sales a year+8 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)28 pts
Risk resilience10% weight
0/100
Baseline46 pts
− Turnover is under ten cars a year, so one sale would move the average-14 pts
− Rust at $11,000 on a $25,000 car-12 pts
− Four-doors and wagons wear the same badge and are worth far less-8 pts
− No Australian transaction behind the value-18 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)0 pts
Model output, not advice or a valuation. Verify independently before acting.

What it costs to own · about 2,796 km a year

Annual cost of access, excl. fuel
$3,610a year
Share of value per year
14.4%
Scheduled servicing$87024%
Tyres, annualised$43012%
Registration and CTP$40011%
Insurance$76021%
Sinking fund (failure table)$1,15032%
All-in annualised (a different number)
Purchase (model value plus duty)$26,000
Running costs × 5 years$18,050
Median exit, net of selling cost$27,063
All-in annualised over 5 years$3,397/yr
Share of value per year13.6%
Cost of access is what the car costs to run. All-in annualised adds depreciation, duty and selling costs across a five year hold. They answer different questions and are labelled separately for that reason.
Break-even appreciation, 5 year hold
12.6%a year, only to get the money back
This library projects
+2.1%a year
The projection falls 10.5 points a year short of the hurdle. On these assumptions this car is a cost, not an asset, which can be an entirely rational thing to buy but should be bought knowing it.
Purchase$25,000
Stamp duty$1,000
Running costs x 5 years$18,050
Selling cost at exit, 2.6% of the salescales with price
Sale price needed at +5 years$45,226
Storage
Bought at
No forecast is used to compute the hurdle. It is the purchase, the duty, any premium and 5 years of running cost, grossed up for the cost of selling and spread back over the hold. The projection it is measured against is the weakest number in this product and is drawn that way in the chart above. Transport, finance and any restoration spend sit outside it.

Specification

Engine2.3L NA fuel-injected inline four (B23E)
Power / torque103 kW / 190 Nm
0-100 km/h9.5 s
Transmission4sp manual with electric overdrive
DriveRWD
Kerb weight1,250 kg
Built worldwideNot established
Delivered to AustraliaNot established
Effective AU survivors80
Australian sales / year6
Typical days on market120 days
Launch priceNot established

What moves the price on this model

Colour hierarchy
Original paint in a factory colour+5%
An Australian-market colour rather than American Mystic Silver+4%
Resprayed over strut tower or sill repair-9%
Options
The two-door bodyshell, which is the whole model+25%
Rust-free strut towers, jacking points and boot floor+20%
Australian-delivered with the local colour and trim specification verified+15%
Odometer sensitivity±1.2% per 10,000 km vs 130,000 km
Applied on top of these

Condition, history, originality, ownership, delivery and modification multipliers apply to every car in the library. They are applied automatically when an advertisement is analysed, and the schedule is set out once, on the analyser page.

Projected value in five years

Projected value at five years
$27,713
+10.9% on today
The model's figure. Today it is $25,000.
Even odds it lands between $21,370 and $34,516.
$15,655 lowhigh $40,646
The shaded range is even money and 62% wide; the outer figures bound eight outcomes in ten. Band width follows the evidence - a model with a tight measured record carries a tight band.
A stronger five year outlook than 61% of the library.
-26.6% weakest projected move in the librarystrongest +73.1%
Five-year cost of ownership
Value change alone: +$2,713 across five years.
Running costs over the same period: $18,050.
Duty and expected selling costs: $1,650.
Net cost of five years of ownership: $16,985, or $3,397 a year.
The projected value rise offsets part of the running cost. It does not make the car free to own.

The case for and against

The case for

Volvo sold the 242 GT here through to 1981, a year longer than in any other market, and that is the local story that makes this the Australian pick over the 240 Turbo. The model is estimated to have gone from a $6,000 car to a $25,000 car, with boxy Volvos among the strongest percentage risers of any classic since about 2020.

The case against

There is no Australian sale of any kind behind this figure and turnover is under ten cars a year, so a single result would rewrite the whole picture. Rust is $11,000 on a $25,000 car and the interior - cracked dash top, sagging headlining, worn cloth - is near-universal at $3,500.

Known faults and risks

Risk 1Rust in strut towers, inner guards, jacking points, sills and boot floor
Risk 2Four-door and wagon 240s advertised alongside the two-door GT
Risk 3Australian-market colours and trim differ from the American cars and need verifying
Rust - strut towers, inner guards, jacking points, sills, rear arches, boot floor, screen surround$11,000
B21/B23 head gasket and warped alloy head$4,500
Turbo rebuild, on a 240 Turbo$4,500
Interior - cracked dash top, sagging headlining, worn cloth, near-universal$3,500
Front suspension bushes, ball joints and steering box$3,000
K-Jetronic or later LH injection ageing - sensors, fuel distributor, accumulator$2,750

Similar cars, and what they cost to run

Evidence behind this valueResearched · 0 recorded sales
Carried value
$25,000
Historical price
2016 · $15,5002026 · $25,000
Researched
An external source, but no itemised transactions. Indicative only.
The Australian story is the production date

Volvo sold the 242 GT here through to 1981, a year longer than in any other market, and that single fact is why this is the Australian pick of the fast boxy Volvos rather than the 240 Turbo. The Turbo shows no evidence of official Australian sale at all: local cars are overwhelmingly private imports, many of them left-hand drive from the United States or Europe, trading at roughly $20,000 to $38,000 driver-quality and $45,000 to $70,000 for an exceptional two-door. The GT was sold here properly, though the volume and the original local price were not found and are left at zero rather than guessed.

Read the rest of the evidence notes (4 more)
There is no Australian price behind this figure, and the nearest ones are the wrong car

The Shannons archive carries P1800 prices, and the P1800 is a different and more collectible model that cannot be used as a comparable for a 242. Nothing else was reachable, and nothing has been published locally since Shannons left the auction business in November 2023 in any case. The estimated move from a $6,000 car to a $25,000 car is a direction read off the broader boxy-Volvo re-rating since about 2020 rather than a measured local series, and it should be read with wide error bars.

The market is thin enough that one sale would rewrite it

Turnover is under ten cars a year in this country against an estimated one hundred and twenty days on market. At that volume a single strong or weak transaction moves the average by more than any genuine change in the market would, which is why this record is carried as research and why the projection band around it is deliberately wide.

The two-door shell is the entire model

Four-doors and wagons wear the same 240 badge and are worth far less. Australian-market 242 GT colours and trim differed from the American Mystic Silver cars and are worth verifying as an identification point on any car offered here.

On costs

Rust - strut towers, inner guards, jacking points, sills, rear arches, boot floor, screen surround - is $11,000 against a $25,000 car, the interior is $3,500 and near-universal, and a warped alloy head on the B23 is $4,500. Two ordinary findings account for more than half the value of the car, which is what a cheap classic actually means. Total 242 GT production was not found, so the built figure here is zero.

What we will not sell you
We will not price a Volvo 240 Series against an advertisement.

No Australian transaction stands behind this value. A spec-adjusted figure built on it would look precise and would not be, so the report is refused instead of sold with a caveat. That goes for this car and 87 others. Everything above is free and stays free.

Read a real listing report
Watch this model
Told when the next one is called.

One line of email when this desk publishes a call on a Volvo 240 Series 242 GT, or records a new Australian sale of one. Nothing else, no schedule, and on a quiet model you may hear nothing for months, which is itself worth knowing about a car you are chasing.

Free. One address, one model, and no account.