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Price opinion from advertisements and recorded sales. Not an inspection or a certified valuation.
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Valuation · HSV · VF II · 2017

HSV GTSR W1

6.2L supercharged V8 (LS9) · 474 kW / 815 Nm · 6sp manual · RWD
BUYRated within the over $100k band · 26 of 104 at this money
Model value
$340,000
Must gain each year to break even
+4.0%
The projection does not clear it, and nor does most of the library.
CarQuant score
67/100
Scored against the over $100k band, not the whole library
Evidence grade
Thin
One to three recorded Australian sales
$340,000
$280,530 lowhigh $510,710
Calibrated to a thin record
298 sedans built: 275 for Australia, 20 for New Zealand and three production pilots

Looking at a GTSR for sale?

Put in the asking price and the odometer reading. You will see what this model should make at that reading.

Should make, typical example
$340,000
At about 8,000 km. Enter an asking price to compare.

Odometer only. Colour, options, history, condition and the photographs move it further, and that is what the report reads.

A person reads the advertisement and its photographs. Usually back within 48 hours. Read a real listing report

Price history

Today $340,000 · modelled median at five years $370,876
Solid line: the value this library has carriedDashed from 2026: modelled · even money $323,354 to $444,429
The green band is the even-money range and the one to plan on: half of outcomes land inside it. The pale band behind it bounds eight in ten ($280,530 to $510,710). The path is this model's own: it starts along the momentum of its recorded history and bends toward its projected median as the horizon lengthens, so no two cars share a future curve.

The verdict

Strong within its price band. Scores 67/100, ranking 26 of 104 in the over $100k band. Demand durability is the strongest input, liquidity the weakest.
Running it costs about $10,150 a year (3.0% of value), which is what the economics score measures. All in, including the projected value change, it is $8,235 a year.
The model's five year median is $370,876, a +9.1% move, with the tenth percentile at $280,530.
Value calibrated to a thin record. Treat the level as provisional.
Evidence
Thin3 recorded sales
Off its peak
-29%
Value band
wide
Multiple recorded transactions plus an aggregate source. Treat the level as reliable.
Scored against every recent Australian sale this library holds, half its values land within 11.2 per cent of the price paid and the rest miss by more, in either direction. Projections are therefore damped toward flat in proportion to how little is known, and the plausible band is never narrower than the error the model is known to make.
Short term (1-5 years)$8,235 a year all in, +9.1% median value move
Long term (10-15 years)Scarcity case already formed
Negotiate from$340,000

Recorded sales

Every recorded observation, and when
4 rows on record
$500k$410k$320k
20222023202420252026
the value this record published, year by yearnow $340ksoldcontext, excluded1 row sits off this scale. Open the list below to see them.2 rows are undated and are not plotted
Every row, with its price and note (4) ↓
Library value against the sold record
3 sales · median $350,888
Value $340,000
$301,100$362,888
recentauction$362,888Sold
Delivery mileage
recentGrays$301,100Sold
1,527 km, plus buyer premium
~2024Collecting Cars$350,888Sold
Before premiums
2021Lloyds$750,000Context, excluded
XU3 Yellah, 16 km. The COVID-peak outlier, not the market
3 completed Australian sales of 4 rows. Rows marked asking, no sale, or context are shown for honesty but do not count toward the evidence grade: an ask is not a transaction, a pass-in is a refusal, and a provenance or overseas result does not price the ordinary local car. The badge on every row is computed by the same rule as the grade, so the two cannot drift apart.

Score breakdown

Against the over $100k band median
104 cars in band · ink tick marks the median
Ownership economics30% of total
72/100+3
Scarcity25% of total
78/100+13
Demand durability20% of total
85/100+7
Liquidity15% of total
18/100-14
Risk resilience10% of total
64/100+30
Sub-scores run 0-100 before weighting; the weighted total is 67/100. Medians are computed live from the 104 cars currently in the over $100k band, so this picture moves when the library does.
The working behind each factor: baseline and drivers ↓
Ownership economics30% weight
72/100
Baseline80 pts
− 3.0% of value a year to run-8 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)72 pts
Scarcity25% weight
78/100
Baseline40 pts
+ 270 survivors of 300 built+38 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)78 pts
Demand durability20% weight
85/100
Baseline45 pts
+ The final and fastest Australian car+30 pts
+ Auction results consistently strong+10 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)85 pts
Liquidity15% weight
18/100
Baseline0 pts
+ 95 days on market+14 pts
+ 12 sales a year+4 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)18 pts
Risk resilience10% weight
64/100
Baseline90 pts
− 19% volatility, sentiment-driven-18 pts
− 2022 peak overhang-8 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)64 pts
Model output, not advice or a valuation. Verify independently before acting.

What it costs to own · about 2,500 km a year

Annual cost of access, excl. fuel
$10,150a year
Share of value per year
3.0%
Scheduled servicing$1,80018%
Tyres, annualised$1,50015%
Registration and CTP$7507%
Insurance$4,20041%
Sinking fund (failure table)$1,90019%
All-in annualised (a different number)
Purchase (model value plus duty)$353,600
Running costs × 5 years$50,750
Median exit, net of selling cost$363,176
All-in annualised over 5 years$8,235/yr
Share of value per year2.4%
Cost of access is what the car costs to run. All-in annualised adds depreciation, duty and selling costs across a five year hold. They answer different questions and are labelled separately for that reason.
Break-even appreciation, 5 year hold
4.0%a year, only to get the money back
This library projects
+1.8%a year
The projection falls 2.2 points a year short of the hurdle. On these assumptions this car is a cost, not an asset, which can be an entirely rational thing to buy but should be bought knowing it.
Purchase$340,000
Stamp duty$13,600
Running costs x 5 years$50,750
Selling cost at exit, 2.3% of the salescales with price
Sale price needed at +5 years$413,720
Storage
Bought at
No forecast is used to compute the hurdle. It is the purchase, the duty, any premium and 5 years of running cost, grossed up for the cost of selling and spread back over the hold. The projection it is measured against is the weakest number in this product and is drawn that way in the chart above. Transport, finance and any restoration spend sit outside it.

Specification

Engine6.2L supercharged V8 (LS9)
Power / torque474 kW / 815 Nm
0-100 km/h4.2 s
Transmission6sp manual
DriveRWD
Kerb weight1,895 kg
Built worldwide298
Delivered to Australia275
Effective AU survivors270
Australian sales / year12
Typical days on market95 days
Launch price$169,990

What moves the price on this model

Colour hierarchy
Light My Fire+5%
Spitfire Green+4%
Heron White0%
Options
Sub-1,000 km odometer+10%
Matching build documentation+4%
Odometer sensitivity±2.5% per 10,000 km vs 8,000 km
Applied on top of these

Condition, history, originality, ownership, delivery and modification multipliers apply to every car in the library. They are applied automatically when an advertisement is analysed, and the schedule is set out once, on the analyser page.

Projected value in five years

Projected value at five years
$370,876
+9.1% on today
The model's figure. Today it is $340,000.
Even odds it lands between $323,354 and $444,429.
$280,530 lowhigh $510,710
The shaded range is even money and 37% wide; the outer figures bound eight outcomes in ten. Band width follows the evidence - a model with a tight measured record carries a tight band.
A stronger five year outlook than 56% of the library.
-26.6% weakest projected move in the librarystrongest +73.1%
Five-year cost of ownership
Value change alone: +$30,876 across five years.
Running costs over the same period: $50,750.
Duty and expected selling costs: $21,300.
Net cost of five years of ownership: $41,175, or $8,235 a year.
The projected value rise offsets part of the running cost. It does not make the car free to own.

The case for and against

The case for

300 built, the last and fastest HSV, with the LS9 hand-assembled. Recorded sales run from $301,100 for a 1,527 km car to $362,888 for a delivery-mileage example, so the floor is well established by transactions rather than asking prices.

The case against

The market has cooled from its 2021 peak, when a 16 km car reached $750,000. Asking prices still span $300,000 to $520,000 while transactions cluster near $350,000, so advertised prices are not the market.

Known faults and risks

Risk 1Auction sentiment cycles
Risk 2Km creep destroying delivery-condition premium
Risk 3Insurance and storage overhead
LS9 supercharger service$2,200
Carbon ceramic disc replacement$14,000

Similar cars, and what they cost to run

Evidence behind this valueThin · 3 recorded sales
Carried value
$340,000
Historical price
2018 · $260,0002026 · $340,000
Thin
Multiple recorded transactions plus an aggregate source. Treat the level as reliable.

298 sedans built: 275 for Australia, 20 for New Zealand and three production pilots. Recorded $301,100 (1,527 km) and $362,888 (delivery mileage); the $750,000 Lloyds result was the 2021 peak. The four GTSR W1 Maloo utes are a separate model trading $1.05m-$1.2m and are excluded

The Maloo is its own market

The GTSR W1 Maloo - four official cars plus two completed by Walkinshaw without HSV sanction - made $1,050,000 at Lloyds in 2021, and build #001 with 26km set the Holden production-car auction record at $1,200,000 at Lloyds in December 2025 after passing in at $1.1m and closing by negotiation two days later. Those results price a four-to-six-car unicorn, not the sedan this entry covers, but they hold the ceiling up for everything wearing the W1 badge.

This page prices the model.
The report prices the car in the advertisement.

Send the link. A person reads the advertisement and its photographs and sends back what that HSV GTSR W1 is worth, what to offer and when to walk away, with five years of costs at the distance you drive.

Read a real listing report

The evidence on this model is thin and the report says so on its cover. Read a complete one on a real car first. Seventeen sections, no account, nothing to pay.

This model, today$340,000
Half of sales are further out than$38,009
The report$249
153×
the price of the report: what half of real sales of this model sit further from this page's number than, on this car
Watch this model
Told when the next one is called.

One line of email when this desk publishes a call on a HSV GTSR W1, or records a new Australian sale of one. Nothing else, no schedule, and on a quiet model you may hear nothing for months, which is itself worth knowing about a car you are chasing.

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GTSR for sale?Priced by a person, $249