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Price opinion from advertisements and recorded sales. Not an inspection or a certified valuation.
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Reference photograph of a Porsche 911 Turbo
Valuation · Porsche · 996 · 2000-05

Porsche 911 Turbo

3.6L twin-turbo flat six · 309 kW / 560 Nm · 6sp manual/Tiptronic · AWD
CONSIDERRated within the $30k to $100k band · 36 of 94 at this money
Model value
$95,000
Must gain each year to break even
+8.9%
The projection does not clear it, and nor does most of the library.
CarQuant score
56/100
Scored against the $30k to $100k band, not the whole library
Evidence grade
Measured
Four or more recorded Australian sales
$95,000
$74,968 lowhigh $105,326
Calibrated to recorded sales
Eleven counted Australian results between $75,000 and $135,500. Provenance sets the price: the top is a 20,895km Australian-delivered car with thirteen dealer stamps, the bottom a rebuilt insurance write-off. A Turbo S at $165,000 is excluded

Looking at a 911 for sale?

Put in the asking price and the odometer reading. You will see what this model should make at that reading.

Should make, typical example
$95,000
At about 130,000 km. Enter an asking price to compare.

Odometer only. Colour, options, history, condition and the photographs move it further, and that is what the report reads.

A person reads the advertisement and its photographs. Usually back within 48 hours. Read a real listing report

Price history

Today $95,000 · modelled median at five years $90,147
Solid line: the value this library has carriedDashed from 2026: modelled · even money $82,163 to $98,131
The green band is the even-money range and the one to plan on: half of outcomes land inside it. The pale band behind it bounds eight in ten ($74,968 to $105,326). The path is this model's own: it starts along the momentum of its recorded history and bends toward its projected median as the horizon lengthens, so no two cars share a future curve.

The verdict

A defensible case with reservations. Scores 56/100, ranking 36 of 94 in the $30k to $100k band. Demand durability is the strongest input, risk resilience the weakest.
Running it costs about $8,650 a year (9.1% of value), which is what the economics score measures. All in, including the projected value change, it is $10,841 a year.
The model's five year median is $90,147, a -5.1% move, with the tenth percentile at $74,968.
Value calibrated to recorded sales.
Evidence
Measured11 recorded sales
Off its peak
-24%
Value band
tight
Multiple recorded transactions plus an aggregate source. Treat the level as reliable.
Scored against every recent Australian sale this library holds, half its values land within 11.2 per cent of the price paid and the rest miss by more, in either direction. Projections are therefore damped toward flat in proportion to how little is known, and the plausible band is never narrower than the error the model is known to make.
Short term (1-5 years)$10,841 a year all in, -5.1% median value move
Long term (10-15 years)Scarcity case already formed
Negotiate from$95,000

Recorded sales

Every recorded observation, and when
14 rows on record
$209k$128k$47k
201720192021202320252027
the value this record published, year by yearnow $95kwhat the model expects across 21k–157k kmsolddid not sellcontext, excluded
Every row, with its price and note (14) ↓
Library value against the sold record
11 sales · median $95,000
Value $95,000
$75,000$135,500
2026Collecting Cars$81,500Sold
SOLD. 31 Mar 2026, Box Hill VIC, 119,000km, automatic
2025Collecting Cars$135,500Sold
SOLD. 29 Jul 2025, Newcastle NSW, 20,895km, automatic. The top of the new set
2025Collecting Cars$95,000Sold
SOLD. 17 Apr 2025, Melbourne VIC, 83,099km, automatic
2025Collecting Cars$77,100Sold
SOLD. 29 Dec 2025, Blacktown NSW, 56,838km, automatic, LHD
Mar 2025Donington Auctions$93,000Sold
2003 996 Turbo. The most recent Australian result and the lowest of the three
Jul 2024Collecting Cars$107,500Sold
SOLD. 31 Jul 2024, Ashmore QLD, 57,307km. 2003 C23 Australian-delivered car, Seal Grey Metallic over black with the carbon interior package, Tiptronic. Sixteen dated service entries from delivery at Porsche Centre Sydney South in June 2003 to a major service at Porsche Centre Brisbane in November 2023. The best-documented 996 Turbo in this record
2024Collecting Cars$95,000Sold
SOLD. 2 Dec 2024, Port Adelaide SA, 156,603km, MANUAL
Nov 2022Shannons$130,500Sold
2001 996 Turbo. The high of the Australian run
Aug 2022Collecting Cars$75,000Sold
SOLD. 8 Aug 2022, Osborne Park WA, 79,107km. 2002 car recorded as an INSURANCE WRITE-OFF after water damage in the Christchurch earthquake, salvaged and rebuilt as a track car: GT2 turbochargers and intercoolers, SQS sequential shifter, GT3 Cup brakes, chromoly cage, air jacks, 480 all-wheel horsepower. A written-off track build, and the price reflects it
2022Collecting Cars$106,511Sold
SOLD. 28 Jul 2022, Burpengary East QLD, 128,165km
May 2022Shannons$130,000Not a sale
NOT A SALE. Passed in at a $130,000-$150,000 estimate six months before one sold at $130,500
Feb 2022Shannons$165,000Context, excluded
996 TURBO S - the 331kW run-out variant, a different variant excluded from this record, which trades above the standard Turbo this entry prices. Recorded for context, at the 2022 peak
Sep 2021Shannons$100,000Not a sale
WITHDRAWN before the block at a $100,000-$120,000 estimate, so neither a sale nor a failure
Feb 2017Shannons Sydney$115,000Sold
2001 996 Turbo
11 completed Australian sales of 14 rows. Rows marked asking, no sale, or context are shown for honesty but do not count toward the evidence grade: an ask is not a transaction, a pass-in is a refusal, and a provenance or overseas result does not price the ordinary local car. The badge on every row is computed by the same rule as the grade, so the two cannot drift apart.

Score breakdown

Against the $30k to $100k band median
94 cars in band · ink tick marks the median
Ownership economics30% of total
60/100+5
Scarcity25% of total
52/100-1
Demand durability20% of total
68/100+2
Liquidity15% of total
50/100-2
Risk resilience10% of total
36/100even
Sub-scores run 0-100 before weighting; the weighted total is 56/100. Medians are computed live from the 94 cars currently in the $30k to $100k band, so this picture moves when the library does.
The working behind each factor: baseline and drivers ↓
Ownership economics30% weight
60/100
Baseline80 pts
− 9.1% of value a year to run-20 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)60 pts
Scarcity25% weight
52/100
Baseline42 pts
+ 620 registered in Australia, manual cars a small minority+10 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)52 pts
Demand durability20% weight
68/100
Baseline52 pts
+ Entry point to air-cooled-adjacent Turbo lineage, strong collector base+16 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)68 pts
Liquidity15% weight
50/100
Baseline36 pts
+ Active collector market, 38 days on market+14 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)50 pts
Risk resilience10% weight
36/100
Baseline44 pts
− IMS bearing risk specific to certain 996 variants, verify history-8 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)36 pts
Model output, not advice or a valuation. Verify independently before acting.

What it costs to own · about 5,532 km a year

Annual cost of access, excl. fuel
$8,650a year
Share of value per year
9.1%
Scheduled servicing$2,20025%
Tyres, annualised$1,45017%
Registration and CTP$8009%
Insurance$2,40028%
Sinking fund (failure table)$1,80021%
All-in annualised (a different number)
Purchase (model value plus duty)$98,800
Running costs × 5 years$43,250
Median exit, net of selling cost$87,847
All-in annualised over 5 years$10,841/yr
Share of value per year11.4%
Cost of access is what the car costs to run. All-in annualised adds depreciation, duty and selling costs across a five year hold. They answer different questions and are labelled separately for that reason.
Break-even appreciation, 5 year hold
8.9%a year, only to get the money back
This library projects
-1.0%a year
The projection falls 10.0 points a year short of the hurdle. On these assumptions this car is a cost, not an asset, which can be an entirely rational thing to buy but should be bought knowing it.
Purchase$95,000
Stamp duty$3,800
Running costs x 5 years$43,250
Selling cost at exit, 2.4% of the salescales with price
Sale price needed at +5 years$145,574
Storage
Bought at
No forecast is used to compute the hurdle. It is the purchase, the duty, any premium and 5 years of running cost, grossed up for the cost of selling and spread back over the hold. The projection it is measured against is the weakest number in this product and is drawn that way in the chart above. Transport, finance and any restoration spend sit outside it.

Specification

Engine3.6L twin-turbo flat six
Power / torque309 kW / 560 Nm
0-100 km/h4.2 s
Transmission6sp manual/Tiptronic
DriveAWD
Kerb weight1,585 kg
Built worldwide21,000
Delivered to Australia950
Effective AU survivors620
Australian sales / year45
Typical days on market38 days
Launch price$284,900

What moves the price on this model

Colour hierarchy
Guards Red+3%
Speed Yellow+6%
Black-1%
Options
Manual transmission+8%
X50 power upgrade package+6%
Aerokit / factory aero+3%
Sunroof delete+1%
Full books and service records+4%
Odometer sensitivity±1.8% per 10,000 km vs 130,000 km
Applied on top of these

Condition, history, originality, ownership, delivery and modification multipliers apply to every car in the library. They are applied automatically when an advertisement is analysed, and the schedule is set out once, on the analyser page.

Projected value in five years

Projected value at five years
$90,147
-5.1% on today
The model's figure. Today it is $95,000.
Even odds it lands between $82,163 and $98,131.
$74,968 lowhigh $105,326
The shaded range is even money and 19% wide; the outer figures bound eight outcomes in ten. Band width follows the evidence - a model with a tight measured record carries a tight band.
A weaker five year outlook than 74% of the library.
-26.6% weakest projected move in the librarystrongest +73.1%
Five-year cost of ownership
Value change alone: -$4,853 across five years.
Running costs over the same period: $43,250.
Duty and expected selling costs: $6,100.
Net cost of five years of ownership: $54,205, or $10,841 a year.
The projected value fall is added to the running cost. Depreciation is the larger number here.

The case for and against

The case for

The last 911 Turbo built on the water-cooled platform before the 997 generation, with manual examples increasingly sought after by collectors. Values are up about 40 per cent since 2016 and it remains the most attainable entry point into the modern 911 Turbo lineage.

The case against

The 996 generation carries IMS bearing risk on certain variants, which makes verified service history essential before buying. Specialist twin-turbo flat-six servicing costs significantly more than a naturally aspirated Carrera of the same era. The Australian record peaked at $130,500 in late 2022 and the most recent local sale, in March 2025, was $93,000 - a fall of nearly 30 per cent in under three years, against a curve that had been drawn rising.

Known faults and risks

Risk 1IMS bearing failure risk (verify history)
Risk 2Coolant pipe/expansion tank age-related failure
Risk 3Specialist servicing cost
IMS bearing inspection/upgrade$3,200
Coolant system overhaul$1,800
Clutch replacement (manual)$2,600

Similar cars, and what they cost to run

Evidence behind this valueMeasured · 11 recorded sales
Carried value
$95,000
Historical price
2016 · $68,0002026 · $95,000
Measured
Multiple recorded transactions plus an aggregate source. Treat the level as reliable.
Six new Australian results, and the clearance picture is the story
Read the rest of the evidence notes (4 more)
Three 996 turbos failed to sell in three weeks

In mid-2026: 38,786km on 17 July, 167,915km on 16 July and 38,750km on 30 June, two of them the lowest-distance cars in the whole record. Three consecutive failures at both ends of the distance range is a demand signal, not a pricing accident, and this record previously carried none of it. The six sales fit at minus 0.426 with 1.8 per cent per 10,000 kilometres and return about $92,000 at the 130,000 this record expects; the value moves $100,000 to $95,000, splitting the fit against the stronger figures already carried here.

The new results run below the old ones

$135,500 at 20,895km is the top of the new set against $165,000 already on this record, which is either a softening market or two different grades of car, and three no-sales in July argue for the first. SOURCING: aggregator-surfaced results, unconfirmed against the auction house, the weakest evidence grade here.

Australian auction record

Three sales and they peak in the middle. A 2001 car made $115,000 at Shannons Sydney in February 2017, another made $130,500 in November 2022, and a 2003 car made $93,000 at Donington in March 2025 - the most recent and the lowest. The 2022 pair is the useful part: a car passed in at a $130,000-$150,000 estimate in May, and six months later one sold at $130,500. That brackets the top of the market tightly. A third was withdrawn before the block in 2021 and counts as neither a sale nor a failure. The value has been reduced from $115,000 to $100,000 and the curve corrected: it had been rising every year, when the local record shows a peak around 2022 and a fall since.

International context

Around 180 lots, one of the deepest records anywhere in this library. British cars sold mostly between GBP22,917 and GBP52,667 across a decade with no clear trend, while American results range from US$28,050 to US$173,600. The X50 pack - 450hp against 420 - is a dearer variant and trades above standard cars. TechArt, RUF, TechArt GT Street, an SCCA Hurricane and a GT2 Evocation are all set aside as not pricing a standard Turbo.

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This model, today$95,000
Half of sales are further out than$10,620
The report$249
43×
the price of the report: what half of real sales of this model sit further from this page's number than, on this car
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