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Price opinion from advertisements and recorded sales. Not an inspection or a certified valuation.
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Reference photograph of a Porsche 911 Turbo S
Valuation · Porsche · 997.2 · 2010-12

Porsche 911 Turbo S

3.8L twin-turbo flat six · 390 kW / 700 Nm · PDK/6sp manual · AWD
CONSIDERRated within the over $100k band · 41 of 104 at this money
Research estimate
$245,000
Must gain each year to break even
+4.8%
The projection does not clear it, and nor does most of the library.
CarQuant score
64/100
Scored against the over $100k band, not the whole library
Evidence grade
Researched
No Australian transaction of any kind
$245,000
$192,024 lowhigh $404,745
Researched, no recorded transaction
No Australian result. 11 international lots
Measured across this library, a value with no Australian result behind it runs high about seven times in ten, by a median of ten per cent. Read this one as a ceiling rather than a midpoint.

Looking at a 911 for sale?

Put in the asking price and the odometer reading. You will see what this model should make at that reading.

Should make, typical example
$245,000
At about 90,000 km. Enter an asking price to compare.

No Australian sale stands behind this value, so treat the figure as indicative.

We will not sell a report on this car. The check above stays free.

Price history

Today $245,000 · modelled median at five years $289,876
Solid line: the value this library has carriedDashed from 2026: modelled · even money $238,406 to $350,297
The green band is the even-money range and the one to plan on: half of outcomes land inside it. The pale band behind it bounds eight in ten ($192,024 to $404,745). The path is this model's own: it starts along the momentum of its recorded history and bends toward its projected median as the horizon lengthens, so no two cars share a future curve.

The verdict

A defensible case with reservations. Scores 64/100, ranking 41 of 104 in the over $100k band. Demand durability is the strongest input, liquidity the weakest.
Running it costs about $10,150 a year (4.1% of value), which is what the economics score measures. All in, including the projected value change, it is $3,775 a year.
The model's five year median is $289,876, a +18.3% move, with the tenth percentile at $192,024.
Value is research, not a measurement. Treat the level as indicative and the structure as the analysis.
Evidence
Researched0 recorded sales
Off its peak
at peak
Value band
wide
An external source, but no itemised transactions. Indicative only.
Scored against every recent Australian sale this library holds, half its values land within 11.2 per cent of the price paid and the rest miss by more, in either direction. Projections are therefore damped toward flat in proportion to how little is known, and the plausible band is never narrower than the error the model is known to make.
Short term (1-5 years)$3,775 a year all in, +18.3% median value move
Long term (10-15 years)Scarcity case already formed
Negotiate from$245,000

Recorded sales

No individual sales are logged for this vehicle.
The value is supported by the aggregate evidence noted at the top of this report, but the underlying transactions are not itemised here.

Score breakdown

Against the over $100k band median
104 cars in band · ink tick marks the median
Ownership economics30% of total
70/100+1
Scarcity25% of total
60/100-5
Demand durability20% of total
76/100-2
Liquidity15% of total
42/100+10
Risk resilience10% of total
66/100+32
Sub-scores run 0-100 before weighting; the weighted total is 64/100. Medians are computed live from the 104 cars currently in the over $100k band, so this picture moves when the library does.
The working behind each factor: baseline and drivers ↓
Ownership economics30% weight
70/100
Baseline80 pts
− 4.1% of value a year to run-10 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)70 pts
Scarcity25% weight
60/100
Baseline48 pts
+ 260 registered in Australia of the range-topping 997.2 variant+12 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)60 pts
Demand durability20% weight
76/100
Baseline58 pts
+ Widely regarded as the last analogue-feeling 911 Turbo generation+18 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)76 pts
Liquidity15% weight
42/100
Baseline30 pts
+ Strong collector demand, 42 days on market+12 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)42 pts
Risk resilience10% weight
66/100
Baseline56 pts
+ 997.2 generation resolved earlier IMS bearing concerns+10 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)66 pts
Model output, not advice or a valuation. Verify independently before acting.

What it costs to own · about 6,000 km a year

Annual cost of access, excl. fuel
$10,150a year
Share of value per year
4.1%
Scheduled servicing$2,60026%
Tyres, annualised$1,65016%
Registration and CTP$8008%
Insurance$2,90029%
Sinking fund (failure table)$2,20022%
All-in annualised (a different number)
Purchase (model value plus duty)$254,800
Running costs × 5 years$50,750
Median exit, net of selling cost$286,676
All-in annualised over 5 years$3,775/yr
Share of value per year1.5%
Cost of access is what the car costs to run. All-in annualised adds depreciation, duty and selling costs across a five year hold. They answer different questions and are labelled separately for that reason.
Break-even appreciation, 5 year hold
4.8%a year, only to get the money back
This library projects
+3.4%a year
The projection falls 1.4 points a year short of the hurdle. On these assumptions this car is a cost, not an asset, which can be an entirely rational thing to buy but should be bought knowing it.
Purchase$245,000
Stamp duty$9,800
Running costs x 5 years$50,750
Selling cost at exit, 1.3% of the salescales with price
Sale price needed at +5 years$309,594
Storage
Bought at
No forecast is used to compute the hurdle. It is the purchase, the duty, any premium and 5 years of running cost, grossed up for the cost of selling and spread back over the hold. The projection it is measured against is the weakest number in this product and is drawn that way in the chart above. Transport, finance and any restoration spend sit outside it.

Specification

Engine3.8L twin-turbo flat six
Power / torque390 kW / 700 Nm
0-100 km/h3.3 s
TransmissionPDK/6sp manual
DriveAWD
Kerb weight1,605 kg
Built worldwide9,000
Delivered to Australia320
Effective AU survivors260
Australian sales / year20
Typical days on market42 days
Launch price$404,500

What moves the price on this model

Colour hierarchy
GT Silver Metallic+2%
Basalt Black+1%
Racing Yellow+6%
Options
Ceramic composite brakes (PCCB, standard)0%
Sport Chrono Package+2%
Factory aerokit+3%
Paint to sample+6%
Odometer sensitivity±1.3% per 10,000 km vs 90,000 km
Applied on top of these

Condition, history, originality, ownership, delivery and modification multipliers apply to every car in the library. They are applied automatically when an advertisement is analysed, and the schedule is set out once, on the analyser page.

Projected value in five years

Projected value at five years
$289,876
+18.3% on today
The model's figure. Today it is $245,000.
Even odds it lands between $238,406 and $350,297.
$192,024 lowhigh $404,745
The shaded range is even money and 47% wide; the outer figures bound eight outcomes in ten. Band width follows the evidence - a model with a tight measured record carries a tight band.
A stronger five year outlook than 82% of the library.
-26.6% weakest projected move in the librarystrongest +73.1%
Five-year cost of ownership
Value change alone: +$44,876 across five years.
Running costs over the same period: $50,750.
Duty and expected selling costs: $13,000.
Net cost of five years of ownership: $18,875, or $3,775 a year.
The projected value rise offsets part of the running cost. It does not make the car free to own.

The case for and against

The case for

Widely regarded by enthusiasts as the last analogue-feeling 911 Turbo generation before electric steering and heavier weight arrived, and the 997.2 generation resolved the earlier IMS bearing concerns. Values have risen steadily since 2016 as buyers recognise it as a high point in the lineage.

The case against

Specialist servicing on the range-topping twin-turbo flat six sits at the top end of Porsche running costs. At an estimated 260 AU survivors it remains findable rather than truly scarce, and PDK examples are far more common than the manual. There is also no Australian auction record for the model, and the international results have been flat to easing since 2019 while this entry carries a value rising every year.

Known faults and risks

Risk 1High-speed tyre wear costs given performance envelope
Risk 2PCCB brake replacement cost if worn
Risk 3Verifying genuine service history at a specialist
PCCB brake replacement$8,500
Clutch replacement (manual)$3,200
Turbo inspection/rebuild$4,800

Similar cars, and what they cost to run

Evidence behind this valueResearched · 0 recorded sales
Carried value
$245,000
Historical price
2016 · $175,0002026 · $245,000
Researched
An external source, but no itemised transactions. Indicative only.
No Australian result

Eleven 997 Turbo S lots appear in the international auction record and none in Australia, so the local figure is a researched estimate.

Read the rest of the evidence notes (1 more)
International context

Nine of eleven sold. British results run GBP72,000 in 2019, GBP81,000 in 2020 and GBP67,500 in 2023, with a car failing at a GBP70,000-GBP80,000 estimate in August 2025 - flat to slightly easing across six years. Swiss and American results are higher and more scattered: CHF172,500 in 2022 against CHF103,500 in 2023, and US$159,600 in 2021 against US$115,500 in 2024. The Edition 918 Spyder at CHF143,750 is a dearer sub-model and not a comparable for a standard Turbo S.

What we will not sell you
We will not price a Porsche 911 against an advertisement.

No Australian transaction stands behind this value. A spec-adjusted figure built on it would look precise and would not be, so the report is refused instead of sold with a caveat. That goes for this car and 87 others. Everything above is free and stays free.

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Told when the next one is called.

One line of email when this desk publishes a call on a Porsche 911 Turbo S, or records a new Australian sale of one. Nothing else, no schedule, and on a quiet model you may hear nothing for months, which is itself worth knowing about a car you are chasing.

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