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Price opinion from advertisements and recorded sales. Not an inspection or a certified valuation.
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Reference photograph of a Lotus Exige S
Valuation · Lotus · Series 3 · 2012-16

Lotus Exige S

3.5L supercharged V6 (Toyota 2GR-FE) · 258 kW / 400 Nm · 6sp manual · RWD
BUYRated within the $30k to $100k band · 20 of 94 at this money
Model value
$84,000
Must gain each year to break even
+8.3%
The projection does not clear it, and nor does most of the library.
CarQuant score
58/100
Scored against the $30k to $100k band, not the whole library
Evidence grade
Thin
One to three recorded Australian sales
$84,000
$57,164 lowhigh $126,895
Calibrated to a thin record
Two Australian sales: $116,600 (Dec 2022, 19,874km coupe) and $93,500 (Jan 2022, 49,910km Roadster)

Looking at an Exige for sale?

Put in the asking price and the odometer reading. You will see what this model should make at that reading.

Should make, typical example
$84,000
At about 55,000 km. Enter an asking price to compare.

Odometer only. Colour, options, history, condition and the photographs move it further, and that is what the report reads.

A person reads the advertisement and its photographs. Usually back within 48 hours. Read a real listing report

Price history

Today $84,000 · modelled median at five years $85,754
Solid line: the value this library has carriedDashed from 2026: modelled · even money $70,716 to $107,394
The green band is the even-money range and the one to plan on: half of outcomes land inside it. The pale band behind it bounds eight in ten ($57,164 to $126,895). The path is this model's own: it starts along the momentum of its recorded history and bends toward its projected median as the horizon lengthens, so no two cars share a future curve.

The verdict

Strong within its price band. Scores 58/100, ranking 20 of 94 in the $30k to $100k band. Scarcity is the strongest input, liquidity the weakest.
Running it costs about $6,950 a year (8.3% of value), which is what the economics score measures. All in, including the projected value change, it is $7,651 a year.
The model's five year median is $85,754, a +2.1% move, with the tenth percentile at $57,164.
Value calibrated to a thin record. Treat the level as provisional.
Evidence
Thin2 recorded sales
Off its peak
-9%
Value band
wide
At least one recorded transaction plus a source. Direction is sound, the exact level less so.
Scored against every recent Australian sale this library holds, half its values land within 11.2 per cent of the price paid and the rest miss by more, in either direction. Projections are therefore damped toward flat in proportion to how little is known, and the plausible band is never narrower than the error the model is known to make.
Short term (1-5 years)$7,651 a year all in, +2.1% median value move
Long term (10-15 years)Scarcity case already formed
Negotiate from$84,000

Recorded sales

Every recorded observation, and when
2 rows on record
$121k$100k$79k
20222023202420252026
the value this record published, year by yearnow $84kwhat the model expects across 20k–50k kmsold
Every row, with its price and note (2) ↓
Library value against the sold record
2 sales · median $105,050
Value $84,000
$93,500$116,600
The library value sits below the lowest recorded sale; the evidence note above explains why.
Dec 2022Collecting Cars$116,600Sold
SOLD. 10 Dec 2022, Bulimba QLD, 19,874km TRUE. 2013 Exige S coupe, Starlight Black over black leather with red stitching, Australian-delivered, third owner. The digital dash reads 13,874km because an AIM unit replaced the factory instrument at about 6,000km; the true figure is the one recorded here. TVS 1900 Charge Cool supercharger upgrade, Nitron three-way dampers, lightweight flywheel, 50-litre tank, Schroth six-point harness. The dearer of the two Australian results, and the modified one
Jan 2022Collecting Cars$93,500Sold
SOLD. 14 Jan 2022, Perth WA, 49,910km. 2014 Exige S ROADSTER, Nightfall Blue over brown quilted leather. Simply Sports Cars carbon-fibre rear wing, Team Dynamics lightweight wheels and a non-standard hardtop, with the factory wheels and soft top included. Sports exhaust, pod intake, four-point harnesses
2 completed Australian sales of 2 rows. Rows marked asking, no sale, or context are shown for honesty but do not count toward the evidence grade: an ask is not a transaction, a pass-in is a refusal, and a provenance or overseas result does not price the ordinary local car. The badge on every row is computed by the same rule as the grade, so the two cannot drift apart.

Published calls on this car

1 prediction on this model is live and unresolved, published before the hammer and graded against it afterwards.

Open2026-09-29
Awaiting the hammer.
Called
$71,500

Score breakdown

Against the $30k to $100k band median
94 cars in band · ink tick marks the median
Ownership economics30% of total
60/100+5
Scarcity25% of total
96/100+43
Demand durability20% of total
60/100-6
Liquidity15% of total
0/100-52
Risk resilience10% of total
38/100+2
Sub-scores run 0-100 before weighting; the weighted total is 58/100. Medians are computed live from the 94 cars currently in the $30k to $100k band, so this picture moves when the library does.
The working behind each factor: baseline and drivers ↓
Ownership economics30% weight
60/100
Baseline80 pts
− 8.3% of value a year to run-20 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)60 pts
Scarcity25% weight
96/100
Baseline72 pts
+ 73 registered in Australia+18 pts
+ Supercharged Toyota V6 a low-production Lotus spec+6 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)96 pts
Demand durability20% weight
60/100
Baseline46 pts
+ Lightweight, track-honed reputation drives serious enthusiast demand+14 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)60 pts
Liquidity15% weight
0/100
Baseline5 pts
− Extremely thin market, 65 days on market-14 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)0 pts
Risk resilience10% weight
38/100
Baseline44 pts
− Toyota V6 base reliable, but Lotus-specific ancillaries scarce-6 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)38 pts
Model output, not advice or a valuation. Verify independently before acting.

What it costs to own · about 4,583 km a year

Annual cost of access, excl. fuel
$6,950a year
Share of value per year
8.3%
Scheduled servicing$1,65024%
Tyres, annualised$1,15017%
Registration and CTP$80012%
Insurance$1,95028%
Sinking fund (failure table)$1,40020%
All-in annualised (a different number)
Purchase (model value plus duty)$87,360
Running costs × 5 years$34,750
Median exit, net of selling cost$83,854
All-in annualised over 5 years$7,651/yr
Share of value per year9.1%
Cost of access is what the car costs to run. All-in annualised adds depreciation, duty and selling costs across a five year hold. They answer different questions and are labelled separately for that reason.
Break-even appreciation, 5 year hold
8.3%a year, only to get the money back
This library projects
+0.4%a year
The projection falls 7.8 points a year short of the hurdle. On these assumptions this car is a cost, not an asset, which can be an entirely rational thing to buy but should be bought knowing it.
Purchase$84,000
Stamp duty$3,360
Running costs x 5 years$34,750
Selling cost at exit, 2.3% of the salescales with price
Sale price needed at +5 years$124,936
Storage
Bought at
No forecast is used to compute the hurdle. It is the purchase, the duty, any premium and 5 years of running cost, grossed up for the cost of selling and spread back over the hold. The projection it is measured against is the weakest number in this product and is drawn that way in the chart above. Transport, finance and any restoration spend sit outside it.

Specification

Engine3.5L supercharged V6 (Toyota 2GR-FE)
Power / torque258 kW / 400 Nm
0-100 km/h3.8 s
Transmission6sp manual
DriveRWD
Kerb weight1,176 kg
Built worldwide3,000
Delivered to Australia90
Effective AU survivors73
Australian sales / year8
Typical days on market65 days
Launch price$139,000

What moves the price on this model

Colour hierarchy
Ardent Red+4%
Metallic Black+1%
Chrome Orange+6%
Options
Race pack (Nitron, adjustable ARB)+3%
Premium Sport pack+2%
Hardtop+2%
Odometer sensitivity±2.4% per 10,000 km vs 55,000 km
Applied on top of these

Condition, history, originality, ownership, delivery and modification multipliers apply to every car in the library. They are applied automatically when an advertisement is analysed, and the schedule is set out once, on the analyser page.

Projected value in five years

Projected value at five years
$85,754
+2.1% on today
The model's figure. Today it is $84,000.
Even odds it lands between $70,716 and $107,394.
$57,164 lowhigh $126,895
The shaded range is even money and 52% wide; the outer figures bound eight outcomes in ten. Band width follows the evidence - a model with a tight measured record carries a tight band.
A weaker five year outlook than 57% of the library.
-26.6% weakest projected move in the librarystrongest +73.1%
Five-year cost of ownership
Value change alone: +$1,754 across five years.
Running costs over the same period: $34,750.
Duty and expected selling costs: $5,260.
Net cost of five years of ownership: $38,255, or $7,651 a year.
The projected value rise offsets part of the running cost. It does not make the car free to own.

The case for and against

The case for

One of the rarest cars in this comparison with an estimated 90 Australian deliveries, and values climbed from 2016 to the 2022 peak, unlike most depreciating supercars of the era. The Toyota-sourced supercharged V6 gives genuine reliability underneath the lightweight chassis.

The case against

The market is extremely thin at 65 days on market, so a sale can take real patience even at fair money. Lotus-specific ancillaries and body panels are scarce and often need to be sourced internationally at a premium.

Known faults and risks

Risk 1Lotus-specific parts scarcity and lead times
Risk 2Track-use history hard to verify
Risk 3Specialist servicing network limited
Supercharger service$1,400
Body panel replacement$2,200
Clutch replacement$1,900

Similar cars, and what they cost to run

Evidence behind this valueThin · 2 recorded sales
Carried value
$84,000
Historical price
2016 · $78,0002026 · $84,000
Thin
At least one recorded transaction plus a source. Direction is sound, the exact level less so.
Two Australian results, and for once they leave the value where it is

A 2013 Exige S coupe made $116,600 at Bulimba in December 2022 and a 2014 Exige S Roadster made $93,500 at Perth in January 2022. Adjusted to the 55,000 kilometres this record expects, at its own 2.4 per cent per 10,000, the coupe implies $107,536 and the Roadster $92,373. The carried $95,000 sat between them, nearer the Roadster, and did not move then.

Read the rest of the evidence notes (5 more)
The coupe's odometer is not what the listing field says

The specification line reads 13,874 kilometres. The description says an AIM digital dashboard replaced the factory instrument at roughly 6,000 kilometres, so the car had covered about 19,874. This record uses 19,874. It is a six thousand kilometre difference on a car whose whole appeal is delivery-level distance, and it is stated in the body text of the lot while the headline figure carries the smaller number. Anything reading this model off aggregated specification fields is reading it wrong.

The dearer car is the modified one, again

The Bulimba coupe carries a TVS 1900 Charge Cool supercharger upgrade, Nitron three-way dampers and a lightweight flywheel, and it made 25 per cent more than the standard-engine Roadster. Distance explains most of that gap and body style may explain some of the rest, but nothing here suggests the upgrades were discounted. That is now the pattern across four records in this library - the Escort, the AE86, the RX-3 and this - where a well-executed modification has not cost the seller money.

What this sample cannot do

Separate coupe from Roadster. There is one of each. The Series 3 Roadster is arguably the rarer car and it is the cheaper result, but at one lot apiece that is an observation and not a discount.

Both results are from the 2022 turn of the year

And nothing Australian has traded since, on a model this record already describes as extremely thin at 65 days on market with about eight sales a year. The value line runs flat from there. SOURCING: aggregator-surfaced auction results, not confirmed against the auction house, the weakest evidence grade in this library.

Revalued September 2026, $95,000 to $84,000, on this library's own index and no new sale

Both results behind the value are from 2022 and it was set against them unindexed, before this library fitted a market index at all. The European-performance series, fitted on 455 sales, has that segment sixteen per cent lower in 2026 than in 2022. Carried to 55,000 kilometres on the current distance curve and indexed to 2026, the coupe implies $87,900 and the Roadster $79,600, and $84,000 is their mean. No Australian Exige S has traded since 2022 to test it, so the next one that does is the check on this move, and on whether the segment index describes a car this rare.

This page prices the model.
The report prices the car in the advertisement.

Send the link. A person reads the advertisement and its photographs and sends back what that Lotus Exige S is worth, what to offer and when to walk away, with five years of costs at the distance you drive.

Read a real listing report

The evidence on this model is thin and the report says so on its cover. Read a complete one on a real car first. Seventeen sections, no account, nothing to pay.

This model, today$84,000
Half of sales are further out than$9,390
The report$249
38×
the price of the report: what half of real sales of this model sit further from this page's number than, on this car
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