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Price opinion from advertisements and recorded sales. Not an inspection or a certified valuation.
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Reference photograph of a Ferrari 430 Scuderia
Valuation · Ferrari · F131 · 2007-09

Ferrari 430 Scuderia

4.3L NA V8 · 375 kW / 470 Nm · 6sp F1 auto · RWD
CONSIDERRated within the over $100k band · 27 of 104 at this money
Research estimate
$550,000
Must gain each year to break even
+4.5%
The projection does not clear it, and nor does most of the library.
CarQuant score
67/100
Scored against the over $100k band, not the whole library
Evidence grade
Asks only
Advertisements only; an ask is not a transaction
$550,000
$487,917 lowhigh $937,016
Asking prices only, no recorded sale
No Australian result. 55 international lots, 76% clearing
Measured across this library, a value with no Australian result behind it runs high about seven times in ten, by a median of ten per cent. Read this one as a ceiling rather than a midpoint.

Looking at a 430 Scuderia for sale?

Put in the asking price and the odometer reading. You will see what this model should make at that reading.

Should make, typical example
$550,000
At about 18,000 km. Enter an asking price to compare.

No Australian sale stands behind this value, so treat the figure as indicative.

We will not sell a report on this car. The check above stays free.

Price history

Today $550,000 · modelled median at five years $661,943
Solid line: the value this library has carriedDashed from 2026: modelled · even money $570,405 to $806,631
The green band is the even-money range and the one to plan on: half of outcomes land inside it. The pale band behind it bounds eight in ten ($487,917 to $937,016). The path is this model's own: it starts along the momentum of its recorded history and bends toward its projected median as the horizon lengthens, so no two cars share a future curve.

The verdict

A defensible case with reservations. Scores 67/100, ranking 27 of 104 in the over $100k band. Demand durability is the strongest input, liquidity the weakest.
Running it costs about $20,050 a year (3.6% of value), which is what the economics score measures. All in, including the projected value change, it is $4,061 a year.
The model's five year median is $661,943, a +20.4% move, with the tenth percentile at $487,917.
Value is research, not a measurement. Treat the level as indicative and the structure as the analysis.
Evidence
Asks only0 recorded sales
Off its peak
at peak
Value band
wide
An external source, but no itemised transactions. Indicative only.
Scored against every recent Australian sale this library holds, half its values land within 11.2 per cent of the price paid and the rest miss by more, in either direction. Projections are therefore damped toward flat in proportion to how little is known, and the plausible band is never narrower than the error the model is known to make.
Short term (1-5 years)$4,061 a year all in, +20.4% median value move
Long term (10-15 years)Scarcity case already formed
Negotiate from$550,000

Recorded sales

Every recorded observation, and when
4 rows on record
$604k$359k$114k
20262027
the value this record published, year by yearnow $550kaskingcontext, excluded
Every row, with its price and note (4) ↓
2026RM Monaco$359,375Context, excluded
EUR converted. Top of the 2026 European band
2026ASK$535,888Asking
ASKING. 2008, 42,000km, dealer VIC. A listing, not a transaction
2026Bonhams$287,500Context, excluded
EUR converted
2026Aguttes$167,300Context, excluded
EUR converted. Bottom of the band
0 completed Australian sales of 4 rows. Rows marked asking, no sale, or context are shown for honesty but do not count toward the evidence grade: an ask is not a transaction, a pass-in is a refusal, and a provenance or overseas result does not price the ordinary local car. The badge on every row is computed by the same rule as the grade, so the two cannot drift apart.

Score breakdown

Against the over $100k band median
104 cars in band · ink tick marks the median
Ownership economics30% of total
71/100+2
Scarcity25% of total
79/100+14
Demand durability20% of total
86/100+8
Liquidity15% of total
13/100-19
Risk resilience10% of total
72/100+38
Sub-scores run 0-100 before weighting; the weighted total is 67/100. Medians are computed live from the 104 cars currently in the over $100k band, so this picture moves when the library does.
The working behind each factor: baseline and drivers ↓
Ownership economics30% weight
71/100
Baseline80 pts
− 3.6% of value a year to run-9 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)71 pts
Scarcity25% weight
79/100
Baseline45 pts
+ 78 cars in the country+34 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)79 pts
Demand durability20% weight
86/100
Baseline50 pts
+ Enzo-derived special series lineage+26 pts
+ Analogue-era Ferrari premium rising+10 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)86 pts
Liquidity15% weight
13/100
Baseline0 pts
+ 110 days on market+10 pts
+ 8 sales a year+3 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)13 pts
Risk resilience10% weight
72/100
Baseline90 pts
− 11% volatility-8 pts
− Single-market illiquidity-10 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)72 pts
Model output, not advice or a valuation. Verify independently before acting.

What it costs to own · about 2,500 km a year

Annual cost of access, excl. fuel
$20,050a year
Share of value per year
3.6%
Scheduled servicing$4,80024%
Tyres, annualised$2,30011%
Registration and CTP$7504%
Insurance$6,60033%
Sinking fund (failure table)$5,60028%
All-in annualised (a different number)
Purchase (model value plus duty)$572,000
Running costs × 5 years$100,250
Median exit, net of selling cost$651,943
All-in annualised over 5 years$4,061/yr
Share of value per year0.7%
Cost of access is what the car costs to run. All-in annualised adds depreciation, duty and selling costs across a five year hold. They answer different questions and are labelled separately for that reason.
Break-even appreciation, 5 year hold
4.5%a year, only to get the money back
This library projects
+3.8%a year
The projection falls 0.7 points a year short of the hurdle. On these assumptions this car is a cost, not an asset, which can be an entirely rational thing to buy but should be bought knowing it.
Purchase$550,000
Stamp duty$22,000
Running costs x 5 years$100,250
Selling cost at exit, 1.8% of the salescales with price
Sale price needed at +5 years$684,699
Storage
Bought at
No forecast is used to compute the hurdle. It is the purchase, the duty, any premium and 5 years of running cost, grossed up for the cost of selling and spread back over the hold. The projection it is measured against is the weakest number in this product and is drawn that way in the chart above. Transport, finance and any restoration spend sit outside it.

Specification

Engine4.3L NA V8
Power / torque375 kW / 470 Nm
0-100 km/h3.6 s
Transmission6sp F1 auto
DriveRWD
Kerb weight1,350 kg
Built worldwide2,500
Delivered to Australia85
Effective AU survivors78
Australian sales / year8
Typical days on market110 days
Launch price$549,000

What moves the price on this model

Colour hierarchy
Rosso Corsa with stripe+4%
Grigio Silverstone+3%
Nero0%
Options
Carbon fibre interior package+4%
Alcantara racing trim+2%
Scuderia shields+1%
Carbon race seats+3%
Full books and tools+3%
Odometer sensitivity±2% per 10,000 km vs 18,000 km
Applied on top of these

Condition, history, originality, ownership, delivery and modification multipliers apply to every car in the library. They are applied automatically when an advertisement is analysed, and the schedule is set out once, on the analyser page.

Projected value in five years

Projected value at five years
$661,943
+20.4% on today
The model's figure. Today it is $550,000.
Even odds it lands between $570,405 and $806,631.
$487,917 lowhigh $937,016
The shaded range is even money and 41% wide; the outer figures bound eight outcomes in ten. Band width follows the evidence - a model with a tight measured record carries a tight band.
A stronger five year outlook than 86% of the library.
-26.6% weakest projected move in the librarystrongest +73.1%
Five-year cost of ownership
Value change alone: +$111,943 across five years.
Running costs over the same period: $100,250.
Duty and expected selling costs: $32,000.
Net cost of five years of ownership: $20,305, or $4,061 a year.
The projected value rise offsets part of the running cost. It does not make the car free to own.

The case for and against

The case for

Special-series V8 Ferraris are the strongest sub-sector in the collector market and 78 cars is genuine scarcity.

The case against

Selling takes four months and a real bid. This is a holding, not a position you exit on notice.

Known faults and risks

Risk 1F1 gearbox pump and clutch wear
Risk 2Carbon brake replacement cost
Risk 3Global sentiment beta
F1 clutch replacement$11,000
Exhaust manifold cracks$7,500

Similar cars, and what they cost to run

Evidence behind this valueAsks only · 0 recorded sales
Carried value
$550,000
Historical price
2016 · $400,0002026 · $550,000
Asks only
An external source, but no itemised transactions. Indicative only.
No Australian result

The 430 Scuderia has no Australian auction record, so the local figure is a researched estimate.

Read the rest of the evidence notes (1 more)
International context

Fifty-five lots, 76 per cent sold overall and 84 per cent since 2024 - clearance is good and improving, which puts this among the healthier Ferrari markets measured here and well clear of the 812 GTS and the 488 at 44 per cent. No direction is claimed. The spread is 1.58 times upper quartile to lower and no run of connected years is recent enough to read a trend from, so the index is reported without a slope: 100 in 2015, 87.5 in 2016, 72.9 in 2019 and 88.1 in 2022. One lot at US$1,650,000 was setting an entire year on its own before it was trimmed. It is a 16M - the open-top special, 499 built - catalogued under the Scuderia name, and it does not price a coupe. Recent European results for ordinary cars run EUR359,375, EUR287,500 and EUR167,300 in 2026. A caveat on method: the source rows for this model carry no auction dates or house names, so the checks for repeat offerings and for single-event concentration could not be run on it. Both have found real distortions in other records, so these figures are less thoroughly filtered than the later ones in this library.

What we will not sell you
We will not price a Ferrari 430 Scuderia against an advertisement.

No Australian transaction stands behind this value. A spec-adjusted figure built on it would look precise and would not be, so the report is refused instead of sold with a caveat. That goes for this car and 87 others. Everything above is free and stays free.

Read a real listing report
Watch this model
Told when the next one is called.

One line of email when this desk publishes a call on a Ferrari 430 Scuderia, or records a new Australian sale of one. Nothing else, no schedule, and on a quiet model you may hear nothing for months, which is itself worth knowing about a car you are chasing.

Free. One address, one model, and no account.