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Price opinion from advertisements and recorded sales. Not an inspection or a certified valuation.
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Reference photograph of a Ferrari 488 GTB
Valuation · Ferrari · F142M · 2016-19

Ferrari 488 GTB

3.9L twin-turbo V8 · 492 kW / 760 Nm · 7sp dual-clutch · RWD
AVOIDRated within the over $100k band · 90 of 104 at this money
Model value
$361,000
Must gain each year to break even
+4.4%
The projection does not clear it, and nor does most of the library.
CarQuant score
54/100
Scored against the over $100k band, not the whole library
Evidence grade
Thin
One to three recorded Australian sales
$361,000
$216,212 lowhigh $450,883
Calibrated to a thin record
One Australian result, $378,000 in August 2025, against three dealer asks averaging twelve per cent above it. 16 international lots, 44% clearing
Measured across this library, a value resting on a single Australian result runs high about six times in ten, by a median of five per cent.

Looking at a 488 for sale?

Put in the asking price and the odometer reading. You will see what this model should make at that reading.

Should make, typical example
$361,000
At about 22,000 km. Enter an asking price to compare.

Odometer only. Colour, options, history, condition and the photographs move it further, and that is what the report reads.

A person reads the advertisement and its photographs. Usually back within 48 hours. Read a real listing report

Price history

Today $361,000 · modelled median at five years $337,068
Solid line: the value this library has carriedDashed from 2026: modelled · even money $273,498 to $396,935
The green band is the even-money range and the one to plan on: half of outcomes land inside it. The pale band behind it bounds eight in ten ($216,212 to $450,883). The path is this model's own: it starts along the momentum of its recorded history and bends toward its projected median as the horizon lengthens, so no two cars share a future curve.

The verdict

The numbers argue against it. Scores 54/100, ranking 90 of 104 in the over $100k band. Ownership economics is the strongest input, liquidity the weakest.
Running it costs about $12,500 a year (3.5% of value), which is what the economics score measures. All in, including the projected value change, it is $21,774 a year.
The model's five year median is $337,068, a -6.6% move, with the tenth percentile at $216,212.
Value calibrated to a thin record. Treat the level as provisional.
Evidence
Thin1 recorded sale
Off its peak
-21%
Value band
wide
At least one recorded transaction plus a source. Direction is sound, the exact level less so.
Scored against every recent Australian sale this library holds, half its values land within 11.2 per cent of the price paid and the rest miss by more, in either direction. Projections are therefore damped toward flat in proportion to how little is known, and the plausible band is never narrower than the error the model is known to make.
Short term (1-5 years)$21,774 a year all in, -6.6% median value move
Long term (10-15 years)Scarcity case already formed
Negotiate from$361,000

Recorded sales

Every recorded observation, and when
4 rows on record
$416k$385k$354k
202520262027
the value this record published, year by yearnow $361ksoldasking2 rows sit off this scale. Open the list below to see them.
Every row, with its price and note (4) ↓
2026ASK$429,900Asking
ASKING. 2016, 21,108km, dealer NSW. A listing, not a transaction
2026ASK$409,900Asking
ASKING. 2016, 28,956km, dealer VIC. A listing, not a transaction
2026ASK$448,000Asking
ASKING. 2016, 29,500km, private NSW. A listing, not a transaction
Aug 2025Collecting Cars$378,000Sold
SOLD. 4 Aug 2025, Waterloo NSW, approx 32,500km, ORIGINAL AUSTRALIAN-MARKET 2016 car, three years with the seller. Rosso Corsa with a gloss black roof over Beige Tradizione, carbon-ceramics, suspension lift, five dated Ferrari Sydney services from 8,998km in 2018. Aftermarket Fi exhaust and wheels, full PPF. The only Australian transaction against three asks averaging $429,267
1 completed Australian sale of 4 rows. Rows marked asking, no sale, or context are shown for honesty but do not count toward the evidence grade: an ask is not a transaction, a pass-in is a refusal, and a provenance or overseas result does not price the ordinary local car. The badge on every row is computed by the same rule as the grade, so the two cannot drift apart.

Score breakdown

Against the over $100k band median
104 cars in band · ink tick marks the median
Ownership economics30% of total
72/100+3
Scarcity25% of total
48/100-17
Demand durability20% of total
66/100-12
Liquidity15% of total
11/100-21
Risk resilience10% of total
60/100+26
Sub-scores run 0-100 before weighting; the weighted total is 54/100. Medians are computed live from the 104 cars currently in the over $100k band, so this picture moves when the library does.
The working behind each factor: baseline and drivers ↓
Ownership economics30% weight
72/100
Baseline80 pts
− 3.5% of value a year to run-8 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)72 pts
Scarcity25% weight
48/100
Baseline40 pts
+ 200 estimated AU survivors of a still relatively recent model+8 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)48 pts
Demand durability20% weight
66/100
Baseline50 pts
+ Widely praised as one of the best-driving turbo Ferraris to date+16 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)66 pts
Liquidity15% weight
11/100
Baseline0 pts
+ 160 days typical time on market+12 pts
+ 28 Australian sales a year+5 pts
− 44% international clearance, and only two standard cars sold worldwide-6 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)11 pts
Risk resilience10% weight
60/100
Baseline52 pts
+ Well proven turbo V8, few systemic issues reported+8 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)60 pts
Model output, not advice or a valuation. Verify independently before acting.

What it costs to own · about 2,588 km a year

Annual cost of access, excl. fuel
$12,500a year
Share of value per year
3.5%
Scheduled servicing$3,40027%
Tyres, annualised$2,10017%
Registration and CTP$8006%
Insurance$3,60029%
Sinking fund (failure table)$2,60021%
All-in annualised (a different number)
Purchase (model value plus duty)$375,440
Running costs × 5 years$62,500
Median exit, net of selling cost$329,068
All-in annualised over 5 years$21,774/yr
Share of value per year6.0%
Cost of access is what the car costs to run. All-in annualised adds depreciation, duty and selling costs across a five year hold. They answer different questions and are labelled separately for that reason.
Break-even appreciation, 5 year hold
4.4%a year, only to get the money back
This library projects
-1.4%a year
The projection falls 5.8 points a year short of the hurdle. On these assumptions this car is a cost, not an asset, which can be an entirely rational thing to buy but should be bought knowing it.
Purchase$361,000
Stamp duty$14,440
Running costs x 5 years$62,500
Selling cost at exit, 2.2% of the salescales with price
Sale price needed at +5 years$447,865
Storage
Bought at
No forecast is used to compute the hurdle. It is the purchase, the duty, any premium and 5 years of running cost, grossed up for the cost of selling and spread back over the hold. The projection it is measured against is the weakest number in this product and is drawn that way in the chart above. Transport, finance and any restoration spend sit outside it.

Specification

Engine3.9L twin-turbo V8
Power / torque492 kW / 760 Nm
0-100 km/h3 s
Transmission7sp dual-clutch
DriveRWD
Kerb weight1,475 kg
Built worldwide14,000
Delivered to Australia220
Effective AU survivors200
Australian sales / year28
Typical days on market160 days
Launch price$469,888

What moves the price on this model

Colour hierarchy
Rosso Corsa+4%
Grigio Silverstone+3%
Nero-1%
Options
Carbon fibre racing seats+3%
Lifting system+2%
Carbon exterior packs+3%
Scuderia shields+2%
Odometer sensitivity±1.6% per 10,000 km vs 22,000 km
Applied on top of these

Condition, history, originality, ownership, delivery and modification multipliers apply to every car in the library. They are applied automatically when an advertisement is analysed, and the schedule is set out once, on the analyser page.

Projected value in five years

Projected value at five years
$337,068
-6.6% on today
The model's figure. Today it is $361,000.
Even odds it lands between $273,498 and $396,935.
$216,212 lowhigh $450,883
The shaded range is even money and 45% wide; the outer figures bound eight outcomes in ten. Band width follows the evidence - a model with a tight measured record carries a tight band.
A weaker five year outlook than 79% of the library.
-26.6% weakest projected move in the librarystrongest +73.1%
Five-year cost of ownership
Value change alone: -$23,932 across five years.
Running costs over the same period: $62,500.
Duty and expected selling costs: $22,440.
Net cost of five years of ownership: $108,870, or $21,774 a year.
The projected value fall is added to the running cost. Depreciation is the larger number here.

The case for and against

The case for

Widely praised by road testers as one of the best-driving turbocharged Ferraris to date, blending the immediacy of forced induction with genuinely sharp handling. It represents the current mid-engine V8 formula at a meaningfully lower entry point than when new.

The case against

Values are still on a depreciation curve rather than appreciating, typical of a car this recent, and specialist turbo V8 servicing costs sit at the top tier of Ferrari ownership. At 200 registered in Australia it will take longer to become genuinely scarce. The value rests on one Australian transaction with three dealer asks twelve per cent above it, and internationally only two standard cars have sold in the entire record - both at US$275,000, a year apart.

Known faults and risks

Risk 1Still depreciating, not yet a collector car
Risk 2Turbo/wastegate system age-related wear as it matures
Risk 3Specialist Ferrari servicing cost
Turbo inspection/service$3,800
Dual-clutch service$2,400
Brake rotor/pad set$2,800

Similar cars, and what they cost to run

Evidence behind this valueThin · 1 recorded sale
Carried value
$361,000
Historical price
2018 · $455,0002026 · $361,000
Thin
At least one recorded transaction plus a source. Direction is sound, the exact level less so.
One Australian transaction against three dealer asks, and the asks averaged 12 per cent high

$378,000 at Waterloo NSW on 4 August 2025: an ORIGINAL AUSTRALIAN-MARKET 2016 car, three years with the seller, approximately 32,500 kilometres, Rosso Corsa over Beige Tradizione, carbon-ceramics, full paint protection film, five dated Ferrari Sydney services from 8,998 kilometres in 2018. Fitted with an aftermarket Fi exhaust and aftermarket wheels.

Read the rest of the evidence notes (3 more)
The three asks carried below are $429,900, $409,900 and $448,000,

Averaging $429,267 - twelve per cent above the one figure anyone actually paid. At 32,500 kilometres against the 22,000 expected here the odometer adjustment is minus 1.7 per cent, so the sale normalises to about $384,500, and the value moves $425,000 to $385,000.

The asks are kept on the record because the gap is the finding

Three sellers wanting between $409,900 and $448,000 while the market cleared $378,000 is a measurement of how far apart the two sides of this car sit, and it is the same gap that put the 458 Italia, the 570S and the 720S in this library too high.

The value was describing one particular car, and it now describes an average one

Revised 2 October 2026, while the sample listing report was rewritten. The $385,000 was the Waterloo result moved for distance and nothing else, so it carried that car's own specification inside it: Rosso Corsa, which this record's own colour table prices 4 per cent over the average, the front lift at 2 per cent, full paint film at 2 per cent, and an aftermarket Fi exhaust and aftermarket wheels, which the room charges about a third of this library's table for (D95, so 0.7 and 1 per cent). Every one of those was then applied a second time to any car priced against it: a Rosso car was paid its 4 per cent again, a car with a lift and film was credited for both again, and a Nero car was taken 1 point under a Rosso baseline when it sits 5 under it. Backed out, the same sale describes an average 2016 488 GTB at 22,000 kilometres at about $361,400, carried as $361,000. Nothing about the evidence changed; what the number means did. The asks are untouched and the gap between them and the one sale is now wider, which is the more honest reading of this market.

This page prices the model.
The report prices the car in the advertisement.

Send the link. A person reads the advertisement and its photographs and sends back what that Ferrari 488 GTB is worth, what to offer and when to walk away, with five years of costs at the distance you drive.

Read a real listing report

The evidence on this model is thin and the report says so on its cover. Read a complete one on a real car first. Seventeen sections, no account, nothing to pay.

This model, today$361,000
Half of sales are further out than$40,356
The report$249
162×
the price of the report: what half of real sales of this model sit further from this page's number than, on this car
Watch this model
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One line of email when this desk publishes a call on a Ferrari 488 GTB, or records a new Australian sale of one. Nothing else, no schedule, and on a quiet model you may hear nothing for months, which is itself worth knowing about a car you are chasing.

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488 for sale?Priced by a person, $249