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Price opinion from advertisements and recorded sales. Not an inspection or a certified valuation.
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Reference photograph of a Nissan Z
Valuation · Nissan · RZ34 · 2022-26

Nissan Z

3.0L twin-turbo V6 · 298 kW / 475 Nm · 6sp manual · RWD
AVOIDRated within the $30k to $100k band · 84 of 94 at this money
Research estimate
$59,000
Must gain each year to break even
+10.1%
The projection does not clear it, and nor does most of the library.
CarQuant score
48/100
Scored against the $30k to $100k band, not the whole library
Evidence grade
Researched
No Australian transaction of any kind
$59,000
$31,574 lowhigh $64,437
Researched, no recorded transaction
No Australian sale was found for this model. The value is anchored on new and demonstrator discounting, on the $95,000 NISMO sitting above it, and on a delivery count of 1,056 through the end of 2025.
Measured across this library, a value with no Australian result behind it runs high about seven times in ten, by a median of ten per cent. Read this one as a ceiling rather than a midpoint.

Looking at a Z for sale?

Put in the asking price and the odometer reading. You will see what this model should make at that reading.

Should make, typical example
$59,000
At about 28,000 km. Enter an asking price to compare.

No Australian sale stands behind this value, so treat the figure as indicative.

We will not sell a report on this car. The check above stays free.

Price history

Today $59,000 · modelled median at five years $51,292
Solid line: the value this library has carriedDashed from 2026: modelled · even money $40,920 to $58,206
The green band is the even-money range and the one to plan on: half of outcomes land inside it. The pale band behind it bounds eight in ten ($31,574 to $64,437). The path is this model's own: it starts along the momentum of its recorded history and bends toward its projected median as the horizon lengthens, so no two cars share a future curve.

The verdict

The numbers argue against it. Scores 48/100, ranking 84 of 94 in the $30k to $100k band. Liquidity is the strongest input, risk resilience the weakest.
Running it costs about $6,290 a year (10.7% of value), which is what the economics score measures. All in, including the projected value change, it is $8,610 a year.
The model's five year median is $51,292, a -13.1% move, with the tenth percentile at $31,574.
Value is research, not a measurement. Treat the level as indicative and the structure as the analysis.
Evidence
Researched0 recorded sales
Off its peak
-20%
Value band
wide
An external source, but no itemised transactions. Indicative only.
Scored against every recent Australian sale this library holds, half its values land within 11.2 per cent of the price paid and the rest miss by more, in either direction. Projections are therefore damped toward flat in proportion to how little is known, and the plausible band is never narrower than the error the model is known to make.
Short term (1-5 years)$8,610 a year all in, -13.1% median value move
Long term (10-15 years)Scarcity case already formed
Negotiate from$59,000

Recorded sales

No individual sales are logged for this vehicle.
The value is supported by the aggregate evidence noted at the top of this report, but the underlying transactions are not itemised here.

Score breakdown

Against the $30k to $100k band median
94 cars in band · ink tick marks the median
Ownership economics30% of total
64/100+9
Scarcity25% of total
48/100-5
Demand durability20% of total
32/100-34
Liquidity15% of total
67/100+15
Risk resilience10% of total
8/100-28
Sub-scores run 0-100 before weighting; the weighted total is 48/100. Medians are computed live from the 94 cars currently in the $30k to $100k band, so this picture moves when the library does.
The working behind each factor: baseline and drivers ↓
Ownership economics30% weight
64/100
Baseline84 pts
− 10.7% of value a year to run-26 pts
+ Below its Australian list price+6 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)64 pts
Scarcity25% weight
48/100
Baseline20 pts
+ 1,150 survivors estimated in Australia+28 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)48 pts
Demand durability20% weight
32/100
Baseline44 pts
+ A twin-turbo rear-drive manual coupe with no rival at the money+10 pts
− Volume collapsed by half in a single year-14 pts
− The NISMO above it compresses everything beneath-8 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)32 pts
Liquidity15% weight
67/100
Baseline12 pts
+ 60 days on market+35 pts
+ 165 sales a year+20 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)67 pts
Risk resilience10% weight
8/100
Baseline50 pts
− Porous block castings and cracked heads on the VR30DDTT-14 pts
− New and demonstrator discounting undercuts every used car-10 pts
− No Australian transaction behind the value-18 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)8 pts
Model output, not advice or a valuation. Verify independently before acting.

What it costs to own · about 12,000 km a year

Annual cost of access, excl. fuel
$6,290a year
Share of value per year
10.7%
Scheduled servicing$1,42023%
Tyres, annualised$96015%
Registration and CTP$76012%
Insurance$1,79028%
Sinking fund (failure table)$1,36022%
All-in annualised (a different number)
Purchase (model value plus duty)$61,360
Running costs × 5 years$31,450
Median exit, net of selling cost$49,762
All-in annualised over 5 years$8,610/yr
Share of value per year14.6%
Cost of access is what the car costs to run. All-in annualised adds depreciation, duty and selling costs across a five year hold. They answer different questions and are labelled separately for that reason.
Break-even appreciation, 5 year hold
10.1%a year, only to get the money back
This library projects
-2.8%a year
The projection falls 12.8 points a year short of the hurdle. On these assumptions this car is a cost, not an asset, which can be an entirely rational thing to buy but should be bought knowing it.
Purchase$59,000
Stamp duty$2,360
Running costs x 5 years$31,450
Selling cost at exit, 2.6% of the salescales with price
Sale price needed at +5 years$95,281
Storage
Bought at
No forecast is used to compute the hurdle. It is the purchase, the duty, any premium and 5 years of running cost, grossed up for the cost of selling and spread back over the hold. The projection it is measured against is the weakest number in this product and is drawn that way in the chart above. Transport, finance and any restoration spend sit outside it.

Specification

Engine3.0L twin-turbo V6
Power / torque298 kW / 475 Nm
0-100 km/h4.5 s
Transmission6sp manual
DriveRWD
Kerb weight1,600 kg
Built worldwideNot established
Delivered to Australia1,056
Effective AU survivors1,150
Australian sales / year165
Typical days on market60 days
Launch price$73,300

What moves the price on this model

Colour hierarchy
Body-colour roof rather than the vinyl-wrapped black one+4%
Original paint, unresprayed+4%
A peeling or rewrapped roof-5%
Options
NISMO rather than the base or Proto Spec car+30%
Proto Spec from the roughly 100-car allocation+10%
Replacement tyres already fitted in place of the factory Bridgestones+3%
Odometer sensitivity±1.6% per 10,000 km vs 28,000 km
Applied on top of these

Condition, history, originality, ownership, delivery and modification multipliers apply to every car in the library. They are applied automatically when an advertisement is analysed, and the schedule is set out once, on the analyser page.

Projected value in five years

Projected value at five years
$51,292
-13.1% on today
The model's figure. Today it is $59,000.
Even odds it lands between $40,920 and $58,206.
$31,574 lowhigh $64,437
The shaded range is even money and 42% wide; the outer figures bound eight outcomes in ten. Band width follows the evidence - a model with a tight measured record carries a tight band.
A weaker five year outlook than 87% of the library.
-26.6% weakest projected move in the librarystrongest +73.1%
Five-year cost of ownership
Value change alone: -$7,708 across five years.
Running costs over the same period: $31,450.
Duty and expected selling costs: $3,890.
Net cost of five years of ownership: $43,050, or $8,610 a year.
The projected value fall is added to the running cost. Depreciation is the larger number here.

The case for and against

The case for

A 298kW twin-turbo rear-drive coupe with a manual gearbox at $59,000 has no direct rival at the money in this market. Only 1,056 were delivered to the end of 2025, and if Nissan Australia ever withdrew, that number would start to look very small.

The case against

Volume collapsed 51 per cent in 2025, new and demonstrator discounting is visible, and the $95,000 NISMO caps everything beneath it. Roughly minus 30 per cent in four years, with porous blocks and cracked heads on the VR30DDTT a $14,000 bill on a car that is still falling.

Known faults and risks

Risk 1New and demonstrator discounting undercuts the used market
Risk 2Porous VR30DDTT block castings and cracked heads at $14,000
Risk 3The black roof is a vinyl wrap and it peels
VR30DDTT porous block castings and cylinder-head cracking near the exhaust ports, head or engine work$14,000
Factory Bridgestone tyres widely criticised, immediate replacement set$2,200
Black roof is a vinyl wrap and peels, rewrap$1,150
Rear tailgate locking mechanism failure$900

Similar cars, and what they cost to run

Evidence behind this valueResearched · 0 recorded sales
Carried value
$59,000
Historical price
2022 · $73,3002026 · $59,000
Researched
An external source, but no itemised transactions. Indicative only.
The steepest decliner in this tranche, and there is no local sale to measure it with

No Australian auction result for the RZ34 was found, so the value is anchored on the new-car market rather than the used one, and the new-car market is where the damage is being done. Volume fell 51 per cent in 2025, new and demonstrator discounting is visible, and every discounted new car puts a ceiling over every used one. Roughly minus 30 per cent in four years is the shape this page carries, and it is inferred from that pressure rather than measured from transactions.

Read the rest of the evidence notes (3 more)
The Nismo compresses everything beneath it

At $95,000 it leaves very little room above a well-specified base or Proto Spec car, and the $97,600 top of the band here is a delivery-kilometre NISMO rather than anything an ordinary buyer will meet. A top base or Proto car sits nearer $80,000.

The Proto Spec is not yet a premium

About 100 cars were allocated here against roughly 1,200 deposits, which sounds like scarcity and has not behaved like it.

The engine is the thing to check

Porous block castings and cracking in the cylinder head near the exhaust ports are documented on the VR30DDTT and the work runs to $14,000. A Nissan Australia withdrawal is the speculative bull case for this model. It is speculation, it is not in this value, and it should not be in a purchase decision either.

What we will not sell you
We will not price a Nissan Z against an advertisement.

No Australian transaction stands behind this value. A spec-adjusted figure built on it would look precise and would not be, so the report is refused instead of sold with a caveat. That goes for this car and 87 others. Everything above is free and stays free.

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Told when the next one is called.

One line of email when this desk publishes a call on a Nissan Z, or records a new Australian sale of one. Nothing else, no schedule, and on a quiet model you may hear nothing for months, which is itself worth knowing about a car you are chasing.

Free. One address, one model, and no account.