Skip to main content
Price opinion from advertisements and recorded sales. Not an inspection or a certified valuation.
CarQuant page
Reference photograph of a Holden Commodore SS Group A HSV
Valuation · Holden · VN · 1990-91

Holden Commodore SS Group A HSV

5.0L V8 · 215 kW / 411 Nm · 6sp manual (ZF) · RWD
BUYRated within the over $100k band · 12 of 104 at this money
Model value
$185,000
Must gain each year to break even
+4.2%
The projection clears it. 14 of 244 in the library do.
CarQuant score
71/100
Scored against the over $100k band, not the whole library
Evidence grade
Measured
Four or more recorded Australian sales
$185,000
$215,883 lowhigh $306,953
Calibrated to recorded sales
302 built. Six Australian results, $103,000 to $266,000 - four at Shannons between 2020 and 2022, build #37 on Collecting Cars in May 2025 and a 21,205km leather car on Collecting Cars in September 2026

Looking at a Commodore SS Group A for sale?

Put in the asking price and the odometer reading. You will see what this model should make at that reading.

Should make, typical example
$185,000
At about 90,000 km. Enter an asking price to compare.

Odometer only. Colour, options, history, condition and the photographs move it further, and that is what the report reads.

A person reads the advertisement and its photographs. Usually back within 48 hours. Read a real listing report

Price history

Today $185,000 · modelled median at five years $253,222
Solid line: the value this library has carriedDashed from 2026: modelled · even money $233,582 to $281,485
The green band is the even-money range and the one to plan on: half of outcomes land inside it. The pale band behind it bounds eight in ten ($215,883 to $306,953). The path is this model's own: it starts along the momentum of its recorded history and bends toward its projected median as the horizon lengthens, so no two cars share a future curve.

The verdict

Strong within its price band. Scores 71/100, ranking 12 of 104 in the over $100k band. Demand durability is the strongest input, liquidity the weakest.
Running it costs about $6,550 a year (3.5% of value), which is what the economics score measures. All in, including the projected value change, it is -$5,244 a year.
The model's five year median is $253,222, a +36.9% move, with the tenth percentile at $215,883.
Value calibrated to recorded sales.
Evidence
Measured6 recorded sales
Off its peak
at peak
Value band
moderate
Multiple recorded transactions plus an aggregate source. Treat the level as reliable.
Scored against every recent Australian sale this library holds, half its values land within 11.2 per cent of the price paid and the rest miss by more, in either direction. Projections are therefore damped toward flat in proportion to how little is known, and the plausible band is never narrower than the error the model is known to make.
Short term (1-5 years)-$5,244 a year all in, +36.9% median value move
Long term (10-15 years)Scarcity case already formed
Negotiate from$185,000

Recorded sales

Every recorded observation, and when
7 rows on record
$289k$185k$80k
2021202220232024202520262027
the value this record published, year by yearnow $185kwhat the model expects across 11k–167k kmsoldcontext, excluded
Every row, with its price and note (7) ↓
Library value against the sold record
6 sales · median $152,750
Value $185,000
$103,000$266,000
Sep 2026Collecting Cars$198,000Sold
SOLD. 18 Sep 2026, Sydney NSW, 21,205km indicated and not warranted. 1990 VN SS Group A, Durif Red over grey leather, believed one of eleven with the leather trim, company registered, original logbook, purchase paperwork and two keys
May 2025Collecting Cars$155,000Sold
SOLD. 29 May 2025, Tinbeerwah QLD, 166,820km. Build number 37 of 302, Durif Red over grey velour, SINGLE-FAMILY OWNERSHIP FROM NEW - first registered in the Northern Territory in November 1990 and moved to Queensland in 2021. Doors-closed repaint, minor fibreglass repairs to the bumpers, air conditioning needs regassing. Fuel pumps, filter, tyres, windscreen and battery renewed June 2024. Re-offered after an earlier agreed sale fell through on the buyer side. The highest distance in the set
Aug 2024Collecting Cars$190,500Context, excluded
SOLD. 28 Aug 2024, Albany WA, 38,916km. Believed ONE OF ONLY TWO VN Group A TOOHEYS SPECIALS built, black, fifth owner of 21 years. Engine rebuilt with a larger camshaft and twin throttle bodies, dyno-proven 324kW at the wheels against a standard 215kW at the flywheel. A different variant and a modified one, excluded from this record - a two-car run is not a market
Nov 2022Shannons$126,000Sold
Group A SS sedan, Spring timed auction, second example in the sale
Nov 2022Shannons$266,000Sold
Build No. 073, one-owner from new with 10,600km - the kilometres are most of the premium over the ordinary cars in the same sale
Aug 2022Shannons$150,500Sold
Group A SS sedan at the Winter timed auction
Nov 2020Shannons$103,000Sold
Group A SS Build No. 80 at the Spring timed auction, lot 138
6 completed Australian sales of 7 rows. Rows marked asking, no sale, or context are shown for honesty but do not count toward the evidence grade: an ask is not a transaction, a pass-in is a refusal, and a provenance or overseas result does not price the ordinary local car. The badge on every row is computed by the same rule as the grade, so the two cannot drift apart.

Score breakdown

Against the over $100k band median
104 cars in band · ink tick marks the median
Ownership economics30% of total
71/100+2
Scarcity25% of total
76/100+11
Demand durability20% of total
80/100+2
Liquidity15% of total
54/100+22
Risk resilience10% of total
68/100+34
Sub-scores run 0-100 before weighting; the weighted total is 71/100. Medians are computed live from the 104 cars currently in the over $100k band, so this picture moves when the library does.
The working behind each factor: baseline and drivers ↓
Ownership economics30% weight
71/100
Baseline80 pts
− 3.5% of value a year to run-9 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)71 pts
Scarcity25% weight
76/100
Baseline42 pts
+ 302 built, an estimated 260 surviving+34 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)76 pts
Demand durability20% weight
80/100
Baseline40 pts
+ Group A homologation royalty, the last of the line+30 pts
+ VL Group A results dragging the whole family upward+10 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)80 pts
Liquidity15% weight
54/100
Baseline14 pts
+ 70 days on market+28 pts
+ A handful of sales a year+12 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)54 pts
Risk resilience10% weight
68/100
Baseline90 pts
− Odometer and build-plate integrity questions-12 pts
− Thin public price record for a six-figure car-10 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)68 pts
Model output, not advice or a valuation. Verify independently before acting.

What it costs to own · about 2,535 km a year

Annual cost of access, excl. fuel
$6,550a year
Share of value per year
3.5%
Scheduled servicing$1,60024%
Tyres, annualised$90014%
Registration and CTP$75011%
Insurance$1,90029%
Sinking fund (failure table)$1,40021%
All-in annualised (a different number)
Purchase (model value plus duty)$192,400
Running costs × 5 years$32,750
Median exit, net of selling cost$251,372
All-in annualised over 5 years-$5,244/yr
Share of value per year-2.8%
Cost of access is what the car costs to run. All-in annualised adds depreciation, duty and selling costs across a five year hold. They answer different questions and are labelled separately for that reason.
Break-even appreciation, 5 year hold
4.2%a year, only to get the money back
This library projects
+6.5%a year
The projection clears the hurdle by 2.3 points a year. On these assumptions the car covers its own costs and leaves a surplus.
Purchase$185,000
Stamp duty$7,400
Running costs x 5 years$32,750
Selling cost at exit, 1.0% of the salescales with price
Sale price needed at +5 years$227,424
Storage
Bought at
No forecast is used to compute the hurdle. It is the purchase, the duty, any premium and 5 years of running cost, grossed up for the cost of selling and spread back over the hold. The projection it is measured against is the weakest number in this product and is drawn that way in the chart above. Transport, finance and any restoration spend sit outside it.

Specification

Engine5.0L V8
Power / torque215 kW / 411 Nm
0-100 km/h6.5 s
Transmission6sp manual (ZF)
DriveRWD
Kerb weight1,400 kg
Built worldwide302
Delivered to Australia302
Effective AU survivors260
Australian sales / year8
Typical days on market70 days
Launch price$68,000

What moves the price on this model

Colour hierarchy
Durif Red+2%
Phoenix Red+2%
Atlas Grey+1%
Alaskan White0%
Options
Documented build number and HSV records+15%
Unmodified driveline with original ZF six-speed+12%
Sub-50,000km odometer with evidence+15%
Odometer sensitivity±1.2% per 10,000 km vs 90,000 km
Applied on top of these

Condition, history, originality, ownership, delivery and modification multipliers apply to every car in the library. They are applied automatically when an advertisement is analysed, and the schedule is set out once, on the analyser page.

Projected value in five years

Projected value at five years
$253,222
+36.9% on today
The model's figure. Today it is $185,000.
Even odds it lands between $233,582 and $281,485.
$215,883 lowhigh $306,953
The shaded range is even money and 21% wide; the outer figures bound eight outcomes in ten. Band width follows the evidence - a model with a tight measured record carries a tight band.
A stronger five year outlook than 98% of the library.
-26.6% weakest projected move in the librarystrongest +73.1%
Five-year cost of ownership
Value change alone: +$68,222 across five years.
Running costs over the same period: $32,750.
Duty and expected selling costs: $9,250.
Net cost of five years of ownership: -$26,220, or -$5,244 a year.
The projected value rise offsets part of the running cost. It does not make the car free to own.

The case for and against

The case for

The rarest of the Holden Group A road cars at 302 built, with the most exotic driveline, sitting a step below the VL Walkinshaw's price while being scarcer than it. Homologation Holdens have been the strongest single class in the Australian record.

The case against

Five published results spanning $103,000 to $266,000, which is a bracket rather than a level: the price depends on which car turns up. Four of the five are more than three years old, and the value carried here sits above the median and the mean of all of them.

Known faults and risks

Risk 1Provenance and build-plate verification
Risk 2Odometer integrity
Risk 3Thin transaction record
ZF S6-40 gearbox overhaul$7,500
Original-spec paint correction$6,000
V8 top-end refresh$5,500

Similar cars, and what they cost to run

Evidence behind this valueMeasured · 6 recorded sales
Carried value
$185,000
Historical price
2016 · $75,0002026 · $185,000
Measured
Multiple recorded transactions plus an aggregate source. Treat the level as reliable.
September 2026, a sixth result and a low-distance one

A Durif Red Group A on grey leather, believed one of eleven with the leather option, made $198,000 in Sydney on 18 September with 21,205 kilometres indicated and not warranted, company registered, with the original logbook and purchase paperwork. This record's curve credits that distance with 17 per cent and returns $216,300, so the room paid about 8 per cent under what the odometer alone asks for, on a reading nobody warrants. The value does not move.

Read the rest of the evidence notes (7 more)
The last Holden Group a

302 cars built by HSV in 1990-91 to homologate the VN for touring car racing, with the twin-throttle-body 5.0-litre at a conservative 215kW and the ZF S6-40 six-speed from the Corvette ZR-1 - the first Australian car on 235/45 17s.

The first five results ran $103,000 to $266,000

Four are Shannons timed-auction sales - build 80 at $103,000 in November 2020, a sedan at $150,500 in Winter 2022, a second sedan at $126,000 in the Spring 2022 sale and build 073 at $266,000 in that same Spring sale - and the fifth is build #37, a single-family car with 166,820km, at $155,000 on Collecting Cars in May 2025. The median is $150,500 and the mean $160,100.

The value carried here sits above both, and the reason is distance

Three of the five lots publish no odometer at all, the one with the highest reading made $155,000 and the one with 10,600 kilometres made $266,000, so the set brackets the model rather than pricing it. It is also positioned against the VL Group A SV in this library, which carries measured evidence and a $200,000 value: the VN is the rarer car (302 against 750) but the VL's Brock-era aura keeps it ahead. Collecting Cars offered build #37 across 2024-25, including an agreed sale that fell through on the buyer's circumstances - a reminder that agreed prices are not completed ones.

What moves a VN

Build number provenance, unmodified driveline and kilometres - the spread between a 27,000km car and a 167,000km car is most of the price.

Two more lots, and one of them is not this car

A build-number-37 Durif Red car in single-family ownership since new made $155,000 at Tinbeerwah in May 2025 at 166,820 kilometres - the highest distance in the record and, de-adjusted to the expected 90,000, an implied $170,700. That sits just under the value carried here and is the best support it has.

The other is a tooheys special, believed one of two built,

And it made $190,500 at Albany in August 2024 on 38,916 kilometres with a rebuilt engine making 324kW at the wheels. It is excluded. A two-car run inside a 302-car homologation model is not a market, and this library has just finished learning that lesson on the VS GTS-R build #001.

What the low-distance end still cannot be explained by the model

Build 073, one owner, 10,600 kilometres, $266,000 in November 2022. At 1.2 per cent per 10,000 the odometer term credits it with 9.5 per cent, implying $242,900 - against ordinary cars in the same rooms at $103,000 to $150,500. Preservation on this model is worth far more than distance alone, and no term in this record captures that.

This page prices the model.
The report prices the car in the advertisement.

Send the link. A person reads the advertisement and its photographs and sends back what that Holden Commodore SS Group A HSV is worth, what to offer and when to walk away, with five years of costs at the distance you drive.

Read a real listing report

Backed by 6 recorded Australian sales of this model. Read a complete one on a real car first. Seventeen sections, no account, nothing to pay.

This model, today$185,000
Half of sales are further out than$20,681
The report$249
83×
the price of the report: what half of real sales of this model sit further from this page's number than, on this car
Watch this model
Told when the next one is called.

One line of email when this desk publishes a call on a Holden Commodore SS Group A HSV, or records a new Australian sale of one. Nothing else, no schedule, and on a quiet model you may hear nothing for months, which is itself worth knowing about a car you are chasing.

Free. One address, one model, and no account.
Commodore SS Group A for sale?Priced by a person, $249