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Price opinion from advertisements and recorded sales. Not an inspection or a certified valuation.
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Reference photograph of a Ferrari 458 Speciale Aperta
Valuation · Ferrari · F142 · 2014-15

Ferrari 458 Speciale Aperta

4.5L NA V8 · 445 kW / 540 Nm · 7sp dual-clutch · RWD
CONSIDERRated within the over $100k band · 13 of 104 at this money
Research estimate
$1,350,000
Must gain each year to break even
+2.4%
The projection clears it. 14 of 244 in the library do.
CarQuant score
71/100
Scored against the over $100k band, not the whole library
Evidence grade
Researched
No Australian transaction of any kind
$1,350,000
$973,014 lowhigh $2,954,395
Researched, no recorded transaction
No Australian auction record. 499 built, an estimated 12 here
Measured across this library, a value with no Australian result behind it runs high about seven times in ten, by a median of ten per cent. Read this one as a ceiling rather than a midpoint.

Looking at a 458 Speciale Aperta for sale?

Put in the asking price and the odometer reading. You will see what this model should make at that reading.

Should make, typical example
$1,350,000
At about 15,000 km. Enter an asking price to compare.

No Australian sale stands behind this value, so treat the figure as indicative.

We will not sell a report on this car. The check above stays free.

Price history

Today $1,350,000 · modelled median at five years $1,716,032
Solid line: the value this library has carriedDashed from 2026: modelled · even money $1,325,205 to $2,367,411
The green band is the even-money range and the one to plan on: half of outcomes land inside it. The pale band behind it bounds eight in ten ($973,014 to $2,954,395). The path is this model's own: it starts along the momentum of its recorded history and bends toward its projected median as the horizon lengthens, so no two cars share a future curve.

The verdict

A defensible case with reservations. Scores 71/100, ranking 13 of 104 in the over $100k band. Scarcity is the strongest input, liquidity the weakest.
Running it costs about $20,800 a year (1.5% of value), which is what the economics score measures. All in, including the projected value change, it is -$38,906 a year.
The model's five year median is $1,716,032, a +27.1% move, with the tenth percentile at $973,014.
Value is research, not a measurement. Treat the level as indicative and the structure as the analysis.
Evidence
Researched0 recorded sales
Off its peak
at peak
Value band
wide
An external source, but no itemised transactions. Indicative only.
Scored against every recent Australian sale this library holds, half its values land within 11.2 per cent of the price paid and the rest miss by more, in either direction. Projections are therefore damped toward flat in proportion to how little is known, and the plausible band is never narrower than the error the model is known to make.
Short term (1-5 years)-$38,906 a year all in, +27.1% median value move
Long term (10-15 years)Scarcity case already formed
Negotiate from$1,350,000

Recorded sales

No individual sales are logged for this vehicle.
The value is supported by the aggregate evidence noted at the top of this report, but the underlying transactions are not itemised here.

Score breakdown

Against the over $100k band median
104 cars in band · ink tick marks the median
Ownership economics30% of total
76/100+7
Scarcity25% of total
100/100+35
Demand durability20% of total
100/100+22
Liquidity15% of total
0/100-32
Risk resilience10% of total
30/100-4
Sub-scores run 0-100 before weighting; the weighted total is 71/100. Medians are computed live from the 104 cars currently in the over $100k band, so this picture moves when the library does.
The working behind each factor: baseline and drivers ↓
Ownership economics30% weight
76/100
Baseline80 pts
− 1.5% of value a year to run-4 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)76 pts
Scarcity25% weight
100/100
Baseline96 pts
+ 499 built worldwide, a stated factory limit+18 pts
+ An estimated 12 delivered to Australia+14 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)100 pts
Demand durability20% weight
100/100
Baseline90 pts
+ An open-top version of the last naturally aspirated mid-engined V8 Ferrari, allocated rather than sold+24 pts
+ Allocation cars carry provenance that supports values+6 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)100 pts
Liquidity15% weight
0/100
Baseline6 pts
− One sale a year nationally at best and an estimated 140 days on market-14 pts
− No transaction evidence in any market-6 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)0 pts
Risk resilience10% weight
30/100
Baseline44 pts
− Value rests entirely on research, and twelve cars is not a market-14 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)30 pts
Model output, not advice or a valuation. Verify independently before acting.

What it costs to own · about 2,500 km a year

Annual cost of access, excl. fuel
$20,800a year
Share of value per year
1.5%
Scheduled servicing$4,60022%
Tyres, annualised$2,60013%
Registration and CTP$9004%
Insurance$8,50041%
Sinking fund (failure table)$4,20020%
All-in annualised (a different number)
Purchase (model value plus duty)$1,404,000
Running costs × 5 years$104,000
Median exit, net of selling cost$1,702,532
All-in annualised over 5 years-$38,906/yr
Share of value per year-2.9%
Cost of access is what the car costs to run. All-in annualised adds depreciation, duty and selling costs across a five year hold. They answer different questions and are labelled separately for that reason.
Break-even appreciation, 5 year hold
2.4%a year, only to get the money back
This library projects
+4.9%a year
The projection clears the hurdle by 2.5 points a year. On these assumptions the car covers its own costs and leaves a surplus.
Purchase$1,350,000
Stamp duty$54,000
Running costs x 5 years$104,000
Selling cost at exit, 1.0% of the salescales with price
Sale price needed at +5 years$1,523,232
Storage
Bought at
No forecast is used to compute the hurdle. It is the purchase, the duty, any premium and 5 years of running cost, grossed up for the cost of selling and spread back over the hold. The projection it is measured against is the weakest number in this product and is drawn that way in the chart above. Transport, finance and any restoration spend sit outside it.

Specification

Engine4.5L NA V8
Power / torque445 kW / 540 Nm
0-100 km/h3 s
Transmission7sp dual-clutch
DriveRWD
Kerb weight1,440 kg
Built worldwide499
Delivered to Australia12
Effective AU survivors12
Australian sales / year1
Typical days on market140 days
Launch price$620,000

What moves the price on this model

Colour hierarchy
Bianco Avus with racing stripe+10%
Rosso Corsa+4%
Blu Tour de France+8%
Options
Racing stripe as delivered+10%
Delivery kilometres+18%
Original allocation documentation+8%
Odometer sensitivity±2.4% per 10,000 km vs 15,000 km
Applied on top of these

Condition, history, originality, ownership, delivery and modification multipliers apply to every car in the library. They are applied automatically when an advertisement is analysed, and the schedule is set out once, on the analyser page.

Projected value in five years

Projected value at five years
$1,716,032
+27.1% on today
The model's figure. Today it is $1,350,000.
Even odds it lands between $1,325,205 and $2,367,411.
$973,014 lowhigh $2,954,395
The shaded range is even money and 79% wide; the outer figures bound eight outcomes in ten. Band width follows the evidence - a model with a tight measured record carries a tight band.
A stronger five year outlook than 93% of the library.
-26.6% weakest projected move in the librarystrongest +73.1%
Five-year cost of ownership
Value change alone: +$366,032 across five years.
Running costs over the same period: $104,000.
Duty and expected selling costs: $67,500.
Net cost of five years of ownership: -$194,530, or -$38,906 a year.
The projected value rise offsets part of the running cost. It does not make the car free to own.

The case for and against

The case for

499 built worldwide to a stated factory limit, allocated to existing clients rather than sold openly, and an estimated twelve in Australia. An open-top version of the last naturally aspirated mid-engined V8 Ferrari, which is the scarcest form of the strongest thesis in this library.

The case against

No transaction evidence exists for this car in any market in this library's data. Twelve cars in the country is not a market, and the exit is a private sale rather than a public one. The value carried here has never been tested against anything, and at over a million dollars that is the largest unverified number in the library.

Known faults and risks

Risk 1No transaction evidence in any market
Risk 2Twelve cars nationally; the exit is private, not public
Risk 3Any track use would materially damage value on an allocation car
Annual service$4,600
Carbon-ceramic brake set$32,000
Soft-top mechanism$9,000

Similar cars, and what they cost to run

Evidence behind this valueResearched · 0 recorded sales
Carried value
$1,350,000
Historical price
2016 · $680,0002026 · $1,350,000
Researched
An external source, but no itemised transactions. Indicative only.
No Australian auction record
Read the rest of the evidence notes (5 more)
What is established

499 were built worldwide, a stated factory limit rather than an estimate, and they were allocated to existing Ferrari clients rather than sold openly. The Australian launch price was around $620,000. An estimated 12 came here.

This is the rarest Ferrari in the library after the LaFERRARI,

And it carries the same structural problem: one sale a year nationally at best, an estimated 140 days on market, and a liquidity subscore that reflects a market of twelve cars and a handful of possible buyers.

The open-car premium

499 against roughly 3,000, and an open-top version of the last naturally aspirated mid-engined V8 Ferrari. Every open-top variant examined in this library trades as its own market rather than as a body option, and where the coupe is scarce the open car is scarcer.

The value is research alone

No transaction for this model appears anywhere in this library's data, Australian or international. Read the figure as the weakest-supported number attached to any Ferrari here.

Revalued August 2026, $1,050,000 to $1,350,000

The coupe's revision carries through. With the Speciale coupe now at $900,000, the carried Aperta figure had drifted to barely a coupe premium at all - on a car with 499 built against 3,000, allocated rather than sold. Every open-top allocation Ferrari examined in this library trades well clear of its coupe, and at a conservative fifty per cent over the revised coupe the figure is $1,350,000. The method is stated because the evidence cannot be: this remains research alone, and the projection band stays the widest in the family for exactly that reason.

What we will not sell you
We will not price a Ferrari 458 Speciale Aperta against an advertisement.

No Australian transaction stands behind this value. A spec-adjusted figure built on it would look precise and would not be, so the report is refused instead of sold with a caveat. That goes for this car and 87 others. Everything above is free and stays free.

Read a real listing report
Watch this model
Told when the next one is called.

One line of email when this desk publishes a call on a Ferrari 458 Speciale Aperta, or records a new Australian sale of one. Nothing else, no schedule, and on a quiet model you may hear nothing for months, which is itself worth knowing about a car you are chasing.

Free. One address, one model, and no account.