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Price opinion from advertisements and recorded sales. Not an inspection or a certified valuation.
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Reference photograph of a Ferrari 488 Spider
Valuation · Ferrari · F142M · 2016-19

Ferrari 488 Spider

3.9L twin-turbo V8 · 492 kW / 760 Nm · 7sp dual-clutch · RWD
AVOIDRated within the over $100k band · 89 of 104 at this money
Research estimate
$455,000
Must gain each year to break even
+4.7%
The projection does not clear it, and nor does most of the library.
CarQuant score
54/100
Scored against the over $100k band, not the whole library
Evidence grade
Asks only
Advertisements only; an ask is not a transaction
$455,000
$231,203 lowhigh $696,535
Asking prices only, no recorded sale
No Australian result. The coupe clears only 44% internationally
Measured across this library, a value with no Australian result behind it runs high about seven times in ten, by a median of ten per cent. Read this one as a ceiling rather than a midpoint.

Looking at a 488 Spider for sale?

Put in the asking price and the odometer reading. You will see what this model should make at that reading.

Should make, typical example
$455,000
At about 22,000 km. Enter an asking price to compare.

No Australian sale stands behind this value, so treat the figure as indicative.

We will not sell a report on this car. The check above stays free.

Price history

Today $455,000 · modelled median at five years $461,542
Solid line: the value this library has carriedDashed from 2026: modelled · even money $340,384 to $585,148
The green band is the even-money range and the one to plan on: half of outcomes land inside it. The pale band behind it bounds eight in ten ($231,203 to $696,535). The path is this model's own: it starts along the momentum of its recorded history and bends toward its projected median as the horizon lengthens, so no two cars share a future curve.

The verdict

The numbers argue against it. Scores 54/100, ranking 89 of 104 in the over $100k band. Scarcity is the strongest input, liquidity the weakest.
Running it costs about $17,300 a year (3.8% of value), which is what the economics score measures. All in, including the projected value change, it is $21,632 a year.
The model's five year median is $461,542, a +1.4% move, with the tenth percentile at $231,203.
Value is research, not a measurement. Treat the level as indicative and the structure as the analysis.
Evidence
Asks only0 recorded sales
Off its peak
-13%
Value band
wide
An external source, but no itemised transactions. Indicative only.
Scored against every recent Australian sale this library holds, half its values land within 11.2 per cent of the price paid and the rest miss by more, in either direction. Projections are therefore damped toward flat in proportion to how little is known, and the plausible band is never narrower than the error the model is known to make.
Short term (1-5 years)$21,632 a year all in, +1.4% median value move
Long term (10-15 years)Scarcity case already formed
Negotiate from$455,000

Recorded sales

Every recorded observation, and when
1 row on record
Every row, with its price and note (1) ↓
2026ASK$449,990Asking
ASKING. 2016, 30,751km, dealer WA. A listing, not a transaction
0 completed Australian sales of 1 rows. Rows marked asking, no sale, or context are shown for honesty but do not count toward the evidence grade: an ask is not a transaction, a pass-in is a refusal, and a provenance or overseas result does not price the ordinary local car. The badge on every row is computed by the same rule as the grade, so the two cannot drift apart.

Score breakdown

Against the over $100k band median
104 cars in band · ink tick marks the median
Ownership economics30% of total
70/100+1
Scarcity25% of total
74/100+9
Demand durability20% of total
48/100-30
Liquidity15% of total
8/100-24
Risk resilience10% of total
32/100-2
Sub-scores run 0-100 before weighting; the weighted total is 54/100. Medians are computed live from the 104 cars currently in the over $100k band, so this picture moves when the library does.
The working behind each factor: baseline and drivers ↓
Ownership economics30% weight
70/100
Baseline76 pts
− 3.8% of value a year to run-6 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)70 pts
Scarcity25% weight
74/100
Baseline58 pts
+ Roughly 2,500 Spiders built+10 pts
+ An estimated 70 delivered to Australia+6 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)74 pts
Demand durability20% weight
48/100
Baseline52 pts
− Turbocharging cost the 488 the naturally aspirated appeal that carries the 458-10 pts
+ Open-top cars draw a wider buyer pool+6 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)48 pts
Liquidity15% weight
8/100
Baseline22 pts
− The 488 GTB clears only 44% internationally, among the weakest measured here-10 pts
− No Australian auction result-4 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)8 pts
Risk resilience10% weight
32/100
Baseline44 pts
− Retractable hardtop and turbo systems both expensive out of warranty-12 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)32 pts
Model output, not advice or a valuation. Verify independently before acting.

What it costs to own · about 2,588 km a year

Annual cost of access, excl. fuel
$17,300a year
Share of value per year
3.8%
Scheduled servicing$4,40025%
Tyres, annualised$2,50014%
Registration and CTP$9005%
Insurance$5,50032%
Sinking fund (failure table)$4,00023%
All-in annualised (a different number)
Purchase (model value plus duty)$473,200
Running costs × 5 years$86,500
Median exit, net of selling cost$451,542
All-in annualised over 5 years$21,632/yr
Share of value per year4.8%
Cost of access is what the car costs to run. All-in annualised adds depreciation, duty and selling costs across a five year hold. They answer different questions and are labelled separately for that reason.
Break-even appreciation, 5 year hold
4.7%a year, only to get the money back
This library projects
+0.3%a year
The projection falls 4.4 points a year short of the hurdle. On these assumptions this car is a cost, not an asset, which can be an entirely rational thing to buy but should be bought knowing it.
Purchase$455,000
Stamp duty$18,200
Running costs x 5 years$86,500
Selling cost at exit, 2.2% of the salescales with price
Sale price needed at +5 years$572,278
Storage
Bought at
No forecast is used to compute the hurdle. It is the purchase, the duty, any premium and 5 years of running cost, grossed up for the cost of selling and spread back over the hold. The projection it is measured against is the weakest number in this product and is drawn that way in the chart above. Transport, finance and any restoration spend sit outside it.

Specification

Engine3.9L twin-turbo V8
Power / torque492 kW / 760 Nm
0-100 km/h3 s
Transmission7sp dual-clutch
DriveRWD
Kerb weight1,525 kg
Built worldwide2,500
Delivered to Australia70
Effective AU survivors65
Australian sales / year2
Typical days on market140 days
Launch price$526,000

What moves the price on this model

Colour hierarchy
Rosso Corsa+4%
Blu Corsa+3%
Nero-2%
Options
Carbon fibre racing seats+3%
Carbon exterior pack+3%
Lifting system+2%
Scuderia shields+2%
Odometer sensitivity±2.5% per 10,000 km vs 22,000 km
Applied on top of these

Condition, history, originality, ownership, delivery and modification multipliers apply to every car in the library. They are applied automatically when an advertisement is analysed, and the schedule is set out once, on the analyser page.

Projected value in five years

Projected value at five years
$461,542
+1.4% on today
The model's figure. Today it is $455,000.
Even odds it lands between $340,384 and $585,148.
$231,203 lowhigh $696,535
The shaded range is even money and 72% wide; the outer figures bound eight outcomes in ten. Band width follows the evidence - a model with a tight measured record carries a tight band.
A weaker five year outlook than 59% of the library.
-26.6% weakest projected move in the librarystrongest +73.1%
Five-year cost of ownership
Value change alone: +$6,542 across five years.
Running costs over the same period: $86,500.
Duty and expected selling costs: $28,200.
Net cost of five years of ownership: $108,160, or $21,632 a year.
The projected value rise offsets part of the running cost. It does not make the car free to own.

The case for and against

The case for

The open version of a car that is still current enough to be usable and old enough to have taken its steepest depreciation. Roughly 2,500 were built and an estimated 70 reached Australia.

The case against

The coupe's international record is genuinely poor: 44 per cent clearance across sixteen lots, with only two standard cars sold anywhere at US$275,000 each. Turbocharging cost this generation the naturally aspirated appeal that carries the 458, and there is no Australian result for the Spider at all. This is the weakest-supported Ferrari valuation here after the F12.

Known faults and risks

Risk 1The coupe clears only 44% internationally
Risk 2No Australian auction record
Risk 3Retractable hardtop and turbo system repair costs
Retractable hardtop mechanism repair$15,000
Turbocharger replacement$22,000
Annual service$4,400

Similar cars, and what they cost to run

Evidence behind this valueAsks only · 0 recorded sales
Carried value
$455,000
Historical price
2017 · $520,0002026 · $455,000
Asks only
An external source, but no itemised transactions. Indicative only.
Why this entry exists separately

The 488 Spider is a distinct and dearer car from the GTB coupe, and was being matched to it.

Read the rest of the evidence notes (1 more)
No Australian result,

And the coupe's record is the warning here rather than the reassurance. The 488 GTB clears just 44 per cent internationally across sixteen lots, among the weakest measured in this library, and only TWO standard coupes have sold anywhere in that record - both at US$275,000, a year apart. Eleven of sixteen lots were 70th Anniversary Edition cars, which is a different proposition again. A Spider inherits that weak clearance rather than escaping it. The value carried here reflects a modest open-top premium over the coupe, but it rests on the coupe's already-thin evidence and should be treated as the weakest-supported Ferrari valuation in this library after the F12.

What we will not sell you
We will not price a Ferrari 488 Spider against an advertisement.

No Australian transaction stands behind this value. A spec-adjusted figure built on it would look precise and would not be, so the report is refused instead of sold with a caveat. That goes for this car and 87 others. Everything above is free and stays free.

Read a real listing report
Watch this model
Told when the next one is called.

One line of email when this desk publishes a call on a Ferrari 488 Spider, or records a new Australian sale of one. Nothing else, no schedule, and on a quiet model you may hear nothing for months, which is itself worth knowing about a car you are chasing.

Free. One address, one model, and no account.