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Price opinion from advertisements and recorded sales. Not an inspection or a certified valuation.
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Reference photograph of a Ferrari 296 GTB
Valuation · Ferrari · F171 · 2022-

Ferrari 296 GTB

3.0L twin-turbo V6 plug-in hybrid · 610 kW / 740 Nm · 8sp dual-clutch · RWD
CONSIDERRated within the over $100k band · 79 of 104 at this money
Research estimate
$465,000
Must gain each year to break even
+5.5%
The projection does not clear it, and nor does most of the library.
CarQuant score
57/100
Scored against the over $100k band, not the whole library
Evidence grade
Researched
No Australian transaction of any kind
$465,000
$269,332 lowhigh $558,184
Researched, no recorded transaction
No Australian sale, and no Australian asking price recorded either. The only local figure on this car is the list price it is still sold at, and roughly $155,000 of that is tax the second owner never pays.
Measured across this library, a value with no Australian result behind it runs high about seven times in ten, by a median of ten per cent. Read this one as a ceiling rather than a midpoint.

Looking at a 296 for sale?

Put in the asking price and the odometer reading. You will see what this model should make at that reading.

Should make, typical example
$465,000
At about 10,000 km. Enter an asking price to compare.

No Australian sale stands behind this value, so treat the figure as indicative.

We will not sell a report on this car. The check above stays free.

Price history

Today $465,000 · modelled median at five years $423,868
Solid line: the value this library has carriedDashed from 2026: modelled · even money $342,582 to $494,518
The green band is the even-money range and the one to plan on: half of outcomes land inside it. The pale band behind it bounds eight in ten ($269,332 to $558,184). The path is this model's own: it starts along the momentum of its recorded history and bends toward its projected median as the horizon lengthens, so no two cars share a future curve.

The verdict

A defensible case with reservations. Scores 57/100, ranking 79 of 104 in the over $100k band. Ownership economics is the strongest input, risk resilience the weakest.
Running it costs about $21,940 a year (4.7% of value), which is what the economics score measures. All in, including the projected value change, it is $36,304 a year.
The model's five year median is $423,868, a -8.8% move, with the tenth percentile at $269,332.
Value is research, not a measurement. Treat the level as indicative and the structure as the analysis.
Evidence
Researched0 recorded sales
Off its peak
-18%
Value band
wide
An external source, but no itemised transactions. Indicative only.
Scored against every recent Australian sale this library holds, half its values land within 11.2 per cent of the price paid and the rest miss by more, in either direction. Projections are therefore damped toward flat in proportion to how little is known, and the plausible band is never narrower than the error the model is known to make.
Short term (1-5 years)$36,304 a year all in, -8.8% median value move
Long term (10-15 years)Scarcity case already formed
Negotiate from$465,000

Recorded sales

No individual sales are logged for this vehicle.
The value is supported by the aggregate evidence noted at the top of this report, but the underlying transactions are not itemised here.

Score breakdown

Against the over $100k band median
104 cars in band · ink tick marks the median
Ownership economics30% of total
78/100+9
Scarcity25% of total
56/100-9
Demand durability20% of total
50/100-28
Liquidity15% of total
61/100+29
Risk resilience10% of total
0/100-34
Sub-scores run 0-100 before weighting; the weighted total is 57/100. Medians are computed live from the 104 cars currently in the over $100k band, so this picture moves when the library does.
The working behind each factor: baseline and drivers ↓
Ownership economics30% weight
78/100
Baseline84 pts
− 4.7% of value a year to run-12 pts
+ Below its Australian list price+6 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)78 pts
Scarcity25% weight
56/100
Baseline20 pts
+ 225 survivors estimated in Australia+36 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)56 pts
Demand durability20% weight
50/100
Baseline48 pts
+ The V6 turned out to be a Ferrari V6 and the market accepted it quickly+8 pts
− Still in production, still being delivered, and scarce in no sense at all-12 pts
+ Assetto Fiorano cars have a following the base car does not+6 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)50 pts
Liquidity15% weight
61/100
Baseline12 pts
+ 60 days on market+35 pts
+ 38 sales a year+14 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)61 pts
Risk resilience10% weight
0/100
Baseline44 pts
− A high-voltage battery out of warranty is a $90,000 exposure with no field history-18 pts
− Still depreciating, with no bottom identified-12 pts
− Carbon-ceramic discs are $35,000 a set when they finally go-6 pts
− No Australian transaction behind the value-18 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)0 pts
Model output, not advice or a valuation. Verify independently before acting.

What it costs to own · about 2,500 km a year

Annual cost of access, excl. fuel
$21,940a year
Share of value per year
4.7%
Scheduled servicing$4,94023%
Tyres, annualised$3,36015%
Registration and CTP$2,64012%
Insurance$6,26029%
Sinking fund (failure table)$4,74022%
All-in annualised (a different number)
Purchase (model value plus duty)$483,600
Running costs × 5 years$109,700
Median exit, net of selling cost$411,778
All-in annualised over 5 years$36,304/yr
Share of value per year7.8%
Cost of access is what the car costs to run. All-in annualised adds depreciation, duty and selling costs across a five year hold. They answer different questions and are labelled separately for that reason.
Break-even appreciation, 5 year hold
5.5%a year, only to get the money back
This library projects
-1.8%a year
The projection falls 7.4 points a year short of the hurdle. On these assumptions this car is a cost, not an asset, which can be an entirely rational thing to buy but should be bought knowing it.
Purchase$465,000
Stamp duty$18,600
Running costs x 5 years$109,700
Selling cost at exit, 2.6% of the salescales with price
Sale price needed at +5 years$609,138
Storage
Bought at
No forecast is used to compute the hurdle. It is the purchase, the duty, any premium and 5 years of running cost, grossed up for the cost of selling and spread back over the hold. The projection it is measured against is the weakest number in this product and is drawn that way in the chart above. Transport, finance and any restoration spend sit outside it.

Specification

Engine3.0L twin-turbo V6 plug-in hybrid
Power / torque610 kW / 740 Nm
0-100 km/h2.9 s
Transmission8sp dual-clutch
DriveRWD
Kerb weight1,600 kg
Built worldwideNot established
Delivered to AustraliaNot established
Effective AU survivors225
Australian sales / year38
Typical days on market60 days
Launch price$568,300

What moves the price on this model

Colour hierarchy
A strong original specification rather than a base build+6%
Rosso Corsa, still the default resale colour+3%
An unusual colour that narrows the resale audience-4%
Options
Assetto Fiorano package+12%
Transferable factory warranty with the scheduled-maintenance programme intact+8%
Front axle lift fitted and free of leaks+2%
Odometer sensitivity±2.3% per 10,000 km vs 10,000 km
Applied on top of these

Condition, history, originality, ownership, delivery and modification multipliers apply to every car in the library. They are applied automatically when an advertisement is analysed, and the schedule is set out once, on the analyser page.

Projected value in five years

Projected value at five years
$423,868
-8.8% on today
The model's figure. Today it is $465,000.
Even odds it lands between $342,582 and $494,518.
$269,332 lowhigh $558,184
The shaded range is even money and 44% wide; the outer figures bound eight outcomes in ten. Band width follows the evidence - a model with a tight measured record carries a tight band.
A weaker five year outlook than 82% of the library.
-26.6% weakest projected move in the librarystrongest +73.1%
Five-year cost of ownership
Value change alone: -$41,132 across five years.
Running costs over the same period: $109,700.
Duty and expected selling costs: $30,690.
Net cost of five years of ownership: $181,520, or $36,304 a year.
The projected value fall is added to the running cost. Depreciation is the larger number here.

The case for and against

The case for

610kW, 2.9 seconds and a V6 the market took to faster than anyone expected, now available at roughly a hundred thousand dollars under a list price with $155,000 of unrecoverable tax inside it. Warranty expiry rather than odometer sets the price, which means a well-bought car is a documentation exercise rather than a gamble.

The case against

Still depreciating three years into a fall of twenty to twenty-five per cent from list, with no bottom identified and no appreciation case in the next few years. This is an expensive used car with a warranty question, and out of warranty the hybrid battery is a $90,000 exposure nobody has the field history to price.

Known faults and risks

Risk 1High-voltage battery and hybrid system replacement out of warranty
Risk 2Still on a depreciation curve, and not a collector car yet
Risk 3Warranty expiry rather than the odometer is the field that moves the price
High-voltage battery and hybrid system replacement out of warranty$90,000
Carbon-ceramic brake discs, a set$35,000
Front axle lift system leaks$6,000
Tyres, bespoke sizes, a set$5,750
Annual service once the free-maintenance period lapses$3,500

Similar cars, and what they cost to run

Evidence behind this valueResearched · 0 recorded sales
Carried value
$465,000
Historical price
2022 · $568,3002026 · $465,000
Researched
An external source, but no itemised transactions. Indicative only.
This is not a collector car
Read the rest of the evidence notes (6 more)
It is an expensive used car with a warranty question,

And the record is written that way rather than dressed up. The 296 has lost roughly twenty to twenty-five per cent of its list in three years and is expected to keep softening at a decelerating rate. Nothing on this page should be read as an appreciation case.

Luxury car tax is the mechanism and it is worth spelling out once properly

The tax is 33 per cent of the GST-inclusive value above the threshold, levied at first retail sale and never recovered on resale. Of the $568,300 Australian list, roughly $155,000 to $165,000 is that tax. The first owner carries all of it and the second owner pays none of it. That is why a modern Ferrari falls harder here in percentage terms than the same car in Britain or America, and it is the most useful single thing to know about the used price of any recent car in this segment.

Warranty expiry is a better field than odometer on this car

Ferrari's seven-year scheduled-maintenance programme transfers with the car, and a 296 with genuine remaining factory cover plus that programme is worth $25,000 to $45,000 over an identical one outside it. The reason is the high-voltage battery: out of warranty a hybrid system replacement is a $90,000 event on a car with almost no field history to price it against.

The spread is the narrowest in this tranche,

About 1.4 to one, because a four-year-old car with electronic service records does not vary the way a forty-year-old one does. Specification does more work than condition here, and Assetto Fiorano is worth $40,000 to $70,000 of it.

What sits under the value

A published list price and an arithmetic on the tax inside it. No Australian transaction exists in any accessible archive and no local asking price was captured, so there is not even a dealer advertisement to argue with. That is thin, it is graded as thin, and it will stay that way until early cars start clearing in public.

One figure to ignore

A widely republished $703,369 for the GTS sits about $135,000 above the GTB, far more than a coupe-to-spider walk normally is, and it reads as an as-optioned or drive-away number rather than a list price.

What we will not sell you
We will not price a Ferrari 296 against an advertisement.

No Australian transaction stands behind this value. A spec-adjusted figure built on it would look precise and would not be, so the report is refused instead of sold with a caveat. That goes for this car and 87 others. Everything above is free and stays free.

Read a real listing report
Watch this model
Told when the next one is called.

One line of email when this desk publishes a call on a Ferrari 296 GTB, or records a new Australian sale of one. Nothing else, no schedule, and on a quiet model you may hear nothing for months, which is itself worth knowing about a car you are chasing.

Free. One address, one model, and no account.