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Price opinion from advertisements and recorded sales. Not an inspection or a certified valuation.
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Reference photograph of a Ferrari Roma
Valuation · Ferrari · F169 · 2020-25

Ferrari Roma

3.9L twin-turbo V8 · 456 kW / 760 Nm · 8sp dual-clutch · RWD
AVOIDRated within the over $100k band · 88 of 104 at this money
Research estimate
$347,500
Must gain each year to break even
+6.2%
The projection does not clear it, and nor does most of the library.
CarQuant score
55/100
Scored against the over $100k band, not the whole library
Evidence grade
Asks only
Advertisements only; an ask is not a transaction
$347,500
$225,588 lowhigh $404,016
Asking prices only, no recorded sale
No Australian sale. Two Australian asking prices exist, $405,000 and $389,888, and both sit within a few per cent of the original list price, which is not money anyone is paying.
Measured across this library, a value with no Australian result behind it runs high about seven times in ten, by a median of ten per cent. Read this one as a ceiling rather than a midpoint.

Looking at a Roma for sale?

Put in the asking price and the odometer reading. You will see what this model should make at that reading.

Should make, typical example
$347,500
At about 21,000 km. Enter an asking price to compare.

No Australian sale stands behind this value, so treat the figure as indicative.

We will not sell a report on this car. The check above stays free.

Price history

Today $347,500 · modelled median at five years $326,846
Solid line: the value this library has carriedDashed from 2026: modelled · even money $273,584 to $367,437
The green band is the even-money range and the one to plan on: half of outcomes land inside it. The pale band behind it bounds eight in ten ($225,588 to $404,016). The path is this model's own: it starts along the momentum of its recorded history and bends toward its projected median as the horizon lengthens, so no two cars share a future curve.

The verdict

The numbers argue against it. Scores 55/100, ranking 88 of 104 in the over $100k band. Ownership economics is the strongest input, risk resilience the weakest.
Running it costs about $19,200 a year (5.5% of value), which is what the economics score measures. All in, including the projected value change, it is $27,919 a year.
The model's five year median is $326,846, a -5.9% move, with the tenth percentile at $225,588.
Value is research, not a measurement. Treat the level as indicative and the structure as the analysis.
Evidence
Asks only0 recorded sales
Off its peak
-15%
Value band
wide
An external source, but no itemised transactions. Indicative only.
Scored against every recent Australian sale this library holds, half its values land within 11.2 per cent of the price paid and the rest miss by more, in either direction. Projections are therefore damped toward flat in proportion to how little is known, and the plausible band is never narrower than the error the model is known to make.
Short term (1-5 years)$27,919 a year all in, -5.9% median value move
Long term (10-15 years)Scarcity case already formed
Negotiate from$347,500

Recorded sales

Every recorded observation, and when
2 rows on record
$413k$376k$339k
2027
the value this record published, year by yearnow $348kasking
Every row, with its price and note (2) ↓
Aug 2026Autotrader AU / CarsGuide$405,000Asking
ASKING. Dealer ask, 2023 Roma, 2,497km. Within a few percent of original list; expect 10-15% below ask to transact.
Aug 2026Autotrader AU / CarsGuide$389,888Asking
ASKING. Dealer ask, 2022 Roma, 13,797km. Implies almost no depreciation in four years, which is not credible.
0 completed Australian sales of 2 rows. Rows marked asking, no sale, or context are shown for honesty but do not count toward the evidence grade: an ask is not a transaction, a pass-in is a refusal, and a provenance or overseas result does not price the ordinary local car. The badge on every row is computed by the same rule as the grade, so the two cannot drift apart.

Score breakdown

Against the over $100k band median
104 cars in band · ink tick marks the median
Ownership economics30% of total
76/100+7
Scarcity25% of total
55/100-10
Demand durability20% of total
38/100-40
Liquidity15% of total
64/100+32
Risk resilience10% of total
14/100-20
Sub-scores run 0-100 before weighting; the weighted total is 55/100. Medians are computed live from the 104 cars currently in the over $100k band, so this picture moves when the library does.
The working behind each factor: baseline and drivers ↓
Ownership economics30% weight
76/100
Baseline84 pts
− 5.5% of value a year to run-14 pts
+ Below its Australian list price+6 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)76 pts
Scarcity25% weight
55/100
Baseline20 pts
+ 275 survivors estimated in Australia+35 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)55 pts
Demand durability20% weight
38/100
Baseline46 pts
+ The most usable Ferrari of the recent range, and the least demanding to own+10 pts
− Replaced by the Amalfi, which finishes the model and dates it at once-6 pts
− No manual, no scarcity and no collectibility case-12 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)38 pts
Liquidity15% weight
64/100
Baseline12 pts
+ 55 days on market+37 pts
+ 48 sales a year+15 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)64 pts
Risk resilience10% weight
14/100
Baseline50 pts
− The highest turnover in this segment, so it is priced as a used car-8 pts
− Carbon-ceramic brakes at $31,000 a set are standard, not an option-10 pts
− Turbo and wastegate faults out of warranty are a $10,000 job-6 pts
− Asking prices only, and an ask is not a sale-12 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)14 pts
Model output, not advice or a valuation. Verify independently before acting.

What it costs to own · about 6,000 km a year

Annual cost of access, excl. fuel
$19,200a year
Share of value per year
5.5%
Scheduled servicing$4,32023%
Tyres, annualised$2,94015%
Registration and CTP$2,31012%
Insurance$5,48029%
Sinking fund (failure table)$4,15022%
All-in annualised (a different number)
Purchase (model value plus duty)$361,400
Running costs × 5 years$96,000
Median exit, net of selling cost$317,806
All-in annualised over 5 years$27,919/yr
Share of value per year8.0%
Cost of access is what the car costs to run. All-in annualised adds depreciation, duty and selling costs across a five year hold. They answer different questions and are labelled separately for that reason.
Break-even appreciation, 5 year hold
6.2%a year, only to get the money back
This library projects
-1.2%a year
The projection falls 7.4 points a year short of the hurdle. On these assumptions this car is a cost, not an asset, which can be an entirely rational thing to buy but should be bought knowing it.
Purchase$347,500
Stamp duty$13,900
Running costs x 5 years$96,000
Selling cost at exit, 2.6% of the salescales with price
Sale price needed at +5 years$469,617
Storage
Bought at
No forecast is used to compute the hurdle. It is the purchase, the duty, any premium and 5 years of running cost, grossed up for the cost of selling and spread back over the hold. The projection it is measured against is the weakest number in this product and is drawn that way in the chart above. Transport, finance and any restoration spend sit outside it.

Specification

Engine3.9L twin-turbo V8
Power / torque456 kW / 760 Nm
0-100 km/h3.4 s
Transmission8sp dual-clutch
DriveRWD
Kerb weight1,570 kg
Built worldwideNot established
Delivered to AustraliaNot established
Effective AU survivors275
Australian sales / year48
Typical days on market55 days
Launch price$409,888

What moves the price on this model

Colour hierarchy
A restrained specification in a colour the grand touring market wants+4%
Rosso Corsa, the default resale colour+2%
A bold colour that narrows the audience on a grand tourer-5%
Options
Delivery-mileage car with the original order documentation+8%
Transferable factory warranty with scheduled maintenance remaining+7%
Retractable spoiler and front lift working with no outstanding faults+3%
Odometer sensitivity±1.9% per 10,000 km vs 21,000 km
Applied on top of these

Condition, history, originality, ownership, delivery and modification multipliers apply to every car in the library. They are applied automatically when an advertisement is analysed, and the schedule is set out once, on the analyser page.

Projected value in five years

Projected value at five years
$326,846
-5.9% on today
The model's figure. Today it is $347,500.
Even odds it lands between $273,584 and $367,437.
$225,588 lowhigh $404,016
The shaded range is even money and 34% wide; the outer figures bound eight outcomes in ten. Band width follows the evidence - a model with a tight measured record carries a tight band.
A weaker five year outlook than 76% of the library.
-26.6% weakest projected move in the librarystrongest +73.1%
Five-year cost of ownership
Value change alone: -$20,654 across five years.
Running costs over the same period: $96,000.
Duty and expected selling costs: $22,940.
Net cost of five years of ownership: $139,595, or $27,919 a year.
The projected value fall is added to the running cost. Depreciation is the larger number here.

The case for and against

The case for

The most usable Ferrari of the recent range and the one with the least demanding ownership case, now at a real discount to a list price that was a quarter tax. The Amalfi's arrival at least closes the model off and gives it a defined production run.

The case against

Still depreciating with another two to three years of gentle decline likely, on the highest turnover of anything in this tranche - it is a used luxury GT and it trades like one. The two Australian asks sit within a few per cent of the original list price, which is dealer optimism rather than money anybody pays.

Known faults and risks

Risk 1Still depreciating, with no collectibility case in sight
Risk 2Australian aggregators carry stale Roma list pricing after the Amalfi replaced it
Risk 3Dealer asks run within a few per cent of list and need a ten to fifteen per cent haircut
Carbon-ceramic brakes, standard, a set$31,000
Turbo and wastegate actuator issues out of warranty$10,000
Front lift system leaks$6,000
Retractable spoiler mechanism faults$5,250
Infotainment and touch-sensitive steering wheel controls, module replacement$5,000
Annual service$3,100

Similar cars, and what they cost to run

Evidence behind this valueAsks only · 0 recorded sales
Carried value
$347,500
Historical price
2020 · $409,8882026 · $347,500
Asks only
An external source, but no itemised transactions. Indicative only.
The two Australian asks on this car are the clearest illustration in the library of why an ask is not a price

A 2023 Roma at 2,497 kilometres was advertised at $405,000 in August 2026 and a 2022 car at 13,797 kilometres at $389,888. The launch list was $409,888. The second of those implies a four-year-old Ferrari has depreciated by five per cent, which is not credible on any car and certainly not on a turbocharged front-engined grand tourer the factory has already replaced. Apply the ten to fifteen per cent haircut that Australian exotic asks carry and the numbers land close to the figure on this page, which is where it came from.

Read the rest of the evidence notes (5 more)
The Roma cycles like a luxury GT and not like a collectible,

And the turnover in this record says so - the highest of anything in this tranche, on the largest local population. These cars are used, not stored. There is no manual, no scarcity and no near-term collectibility case, and none is claimed here.

The tax set the starting point

Roughly $110,000 of the $409,888 launch price was luxury car tax at 33 per cent of the GST-inclusive value above the threshold, charged once and never recovered. The used market prices off the ex-tax car, which is most of why the first cycle is as steep as it is.

A data warning worth carrying into any feed

Australian aggregators still publish $409,888 as a current model-year Roma price even though the Amalfi has replaced the car. A 2026 Roma list price found in a scrape is legacy data, not evidence of a current model, and anything built on it inherits the error.

Where it goes

Still falling, though more slowly, with perhaps another two to three years of gentle decline before it flattens.

What it rests on

No Australian result for this model exists in any published archive. This value is two asking prices minus a haircut, plus the tax arithmetic. That is a fair way to price a modern car with a deep new market. It is not a transaction record and it is not graded as one.

What we will not sell you
We will not price a Ferrari Roma against an advertisement.

No Australian transaction stands behind this value. A spec-adjusted figure built on it would look precise and would not be, so the report is refused instead of sold with a caveat. That goes for this car and 87 others. Everything above is free and stays free.

Read a real listing report
Watch this model
Told when the next one is called.

One line of email when this desk publishes a call on a Ferrari Roma, or records a new Australian sale of one. Nothing else, no schedule, and on a quiet model you may hear nothing for months, which is itself worth knowing about a car you are chasing.

Free. One address, one model, and no account.