_5.23.18.jpg?width=2000)
Valuation · Kia · CK MY22 · 2022-23
Kia Stinger GT
3.3L twin-turbo V6 · 272 kW / 510 Nm · 8sp auto · RWD
AVOIDRated within the $30k to $100k band · 90 of 94 at this money
Research estimate
$52,541
Must gain each year to break even
+10.0%
The projection does not clear it, and nor does most of the library.
CarQuant score
45/100
Scored against the $30k to $100k band, not the whole library
Evidence grade
Researched
No Australian transaction of any kind
$52,541
$26,922 lowhigh $55,341
Modelled estimate
No recorded Australian sale stands behind this figure. Treat the level as indicative and the structure as the analysis.
Measured across this library, a value with no Australian result behind it runs high about seven times in ten, by a median of ten per cent. Read this one as a ceiling rather than a midpoint.
Looking at a Stinger for sale?
Put in the asking price and the odometer reading. You will see what this model should make at that reading.
Should make, typical example
$52,541
At about 45,000 km. Enter an asking price to compare.
No Australian sale stands behind this value, so treat the figure as indicative.
We will not sell a report on this car. The check above stays free.
Price history
Today $52,541 · modelled median at five years $44,684
Solid line: the value this library has carriedDashed from 2026: modelled · even money $35,341 to $50,290
The green band is the even-money range and the one to plan on: half of outcomes land inside it. The pale band behind it bounds eight in ten ($26,922 to $55,341). The path is this model's own: it starts along the momentum of its recorded history and bends toward its projected median as the horizon lengthens, so no two cars share a future curve.
The verdict
The numbers argue against it. Scores 45/100, ranking 90 of 94 in the $30k to $100k band. Liquidity is the strongest input, scarcity the weakest.
Running it costs about $5,200 a year (9.9% of value), which is what the economics score measures. All in, including the projected value change, it is $7,667 a year.
The model's five year median is $44,684, a -15.0% move, with the tenth percentile at $26,922.
Value is research, not a measurement. Treat the level as indicative and the structure as the analysis.
Evidence
Researched0 recorded sales
Off its peak
-22%
Value band
wide
No external evidence. A modelled estimate whose structure is more useful than its level.
Scored against every recent Australian sale this library holds, half its values land within 11.2 per cent of the price paid and the rest miss by more, in either direction. Projections are therefore damped toward flat in proportion to how little is known, and the plausible band is never narrower than the error the model is known to make.
Short term (1-5 years)$7,667 a year all in, -15.0% median value move
Long term (10-15 years)Scarcity requires a decade of attrition
Negotiate from$52,541
Recorded sales
No individual sales are logged for this vehicle.
Cars of this kind trade mainly through dealers and classifieds rather than auction houses, so no verified sale record exists to publish. The value is a modelled estimate.
Score breakdown
Against the $30k to $100k band median
94 cars in band · ink tick marks the medianOwnership economics30% of total
55/100even
Scarcity25% of total
4/100-49
Demand durability20% of total
43/100-23
Liquidity15% of total
79/100+27
Risk resilience10% of total
75/100+39
Sub-scores run 0-100 before weighting; the weighted total is 45/100. Medians are computed live from the 94 cars currently in the $30k to $100k band, so this picture moves when the library does.
The working behind each factor: baseline and drivers ↓
Ownership economics30% weight
55/100Baseline80 pts
− 9.9% of value a year to run-25 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)55 pts
Scarcity25% weight
4/100Baseline0 pts
+ 3,270 unmodified examples in Australia+4 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)4 pts
Demand durability20% weight
43/100Baseline8 pts
+ 80% auction sell-through in segment+20 pts
+ Halo model for the marque+15 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)43 pts
Liquidity15% weight
79/100Baseline0 pts
+ 69 days typical time on market+49 pts
+ 428 Australian sales a year+30 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)79 pts
Risk resilience10% weight
75/100Baseline100 pts
− 14% idiosyncratic price volatility-12 pts
− 8% failure exposure over the hold-13 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)75 pts
Model output, not advice or a valuation. Verify independently before acting.
What it costs to own · about 12,000 km a year
Annual cost of access, excl. fuel
$5,200a year
Share of value per year
9.9%
Scheduled servicing$1,10021%
Tyres, annualised$95018%
Registration and CTP$75014%
Insurance$1,50029%
Sinking fund (failure table)$90017%
All-in annualised (a different number)
Purchase (model value plus duty)$54,643
Running costs × 5 years$26,000
Median exit, net of selling cost$42,306
All-in annualised over 5 years$7,667/yr
Share of value per year14.6%
Cost of access is what the car costs to run. All-in annualised adds depreciation, duty and selling costs across a five year hold. They answer different questions and are labelled separately for that reason.
Break-even appreciation, 5 year hold
10.0%a year, only to get the money back
This library projects
-3.2%a year
The projection falls 13.1 points a year short of the hurdle. On these assumptions this car is a cost, not an asset, which can be an entirely rational thing to buy but should be bought knowing it.
Purchase$52,541
Stamp duty$2,102
Running costs x 5 years$26,000
Selling cost at exit, 4.5% of the salescales with price
Sale price needed at +5 years$84,466
Storage
Bought at
No forecast is used to compute the hurdle. It is the purchase, the duty, any premium and 5 years of running cost, grossed up for the cost of selling and spread back over the hold. The projection it is measured against is the weakest number in this product and is drawn that way in the chart above. Transport, finance and any restoration spend sit outside it.
Specification
Engine3.3L twin-turbo V6
Power / torque272 kW / 510 Nm
0-100 km/h4.9 s
Transmission8sp auto
DriveRWD
Kerb weight1,780 kg
Built worldwide140,000
Delivered to Australia8,500
Effective AU survivors3,270
Australian sales / year428
Typical days on market69 days
Launch price$67,000
What moves the price on this model
Colour hierarchy
Micro Blue+6%
Neon Orange+5%
Panthera Metal-1%
Options
330Si/GT Night Sky editions+3%
Panoramic sunroof+1%
Full Kia service history to book+3%
Odometer sensitivity±1.6% per 10,000 km vs 45,000 km
Applied on top of these
Condition, history, originality, ownership, delivery and modification multipliers apply to every car in the library. They are applied automatically when an advertisement is analysed, and the schedule is set out once, on the analyser page.
Projected value in five years
Projected value at five years
$44,684
-15.0% on today
The model's figure. Today it is $52,541.
Even odds it lands between $35,341 and $50,290.
$26,922 lowhigh $55,341
The shaded range is even money and 42% wide; the outer figures bound eight outcomes in ten. Band width follows the evidence - a model with a tight measured record carries a tight band.
A weaker five year outlook than 89% of the library.
-26.6% weakest projected move in the librarystrongest +73.1%
Five-year cost of ownership
Value change alone: -$7,857 across five years.
Running costs over the same period: $26,000.
Duty and expected selling costs: $4,480.
Net cost of five years of ownership: $38,335, or $7,667 a year.
The projected value fall is added to the running cost. Depreciation is the larger number here.
The case for and against
The case for
Discontinued in 2023 with no successor. The only rear-drive twin-turbo GT Kia has built, still under warranty tail to 2029.
The case against
3,270 survivors and four more years on the steep part of the curve. No five year purchase price breaks even.
Known faults and risks
Risk 1Rear differential whine on early builds
Risk 2Fuel line recall compliance
Risk 3Brand ceiling caps collector demand
Rear differential replacement$2,800
HECU recall checkdocumentation
Similar cars, and what they cost to run
What we will not sell you
We will not price a Kia Stinger against an advertisement.
No Australian transaction stands behind this value. A spec-adjusted figure built on it would look precise and would not be, so the report is refused instead of sold with a caveat. That goes for this car and 87 others. Everything above is free and stays free.
Watch this model
Told when the next one is called.
One line of email when this desk publishes a call on a Kia Stinger GT, or records a new Australian sale of one. Nothing else, no schedule, and on a quiet model you may hear nothing for months, which is itself worth knowing about a car you are chasing.
Free. One address, one model, and no account.