Skip to main content
Price opinion from advertisements and recorded sales. Not an inspection or a certified valuation.
CarQuant page
Reference photograph of a Nissan GT-R Nismo
Valuation · Nissan · R35 (facelift) · 2017-22

Nissan GT-R Nismo

3.8L twin-turbo V6 (VR38DETT, Nismo-tune) · 441 kW / 652 Nm · 6sp dual-clutch · AWD
CONSIDERRated within the over $100k band · 36 of 104 at this money
Model value
$287,000
Must gain each year to break even
+4.2%
The projection does not clear it, and nor does most of the library.
CarQuant score
65/100
Scored against the over $100k band, not the whole library
Evidence grade
Thin
One to three recorded Australian sales
$287,000
$233,900 lowhigh $435,230
Calibrated to a thin record
Two Australian sales, both at exactly $300,000, in June and November 2022

Looking at a GT-R for sale?

Put in the asking price and the odometer reading. You will see what this model should make at that reading.

Should make, typical example
$287,000
At about 45,000 km. Enter an asking price to compare.

Odometer only. Colour, options, history, condition and the photographs move it further, and that is what the report reads.

A person reads the advertisement and its photographs. Usually back within 48 hours. Read a real listing report

Price history

Today $287,000 · modelled median at five years $318,459
Solid line: the value this library has carriedDashed from 2026: modelled · even money $273,981 to $379,881
The green band is the even-money range and the one to plan on: half of outcomes land inside it. The pale band behind it bounds eight in ten ($233,900 to $435,230). The path is this model's own: it starts along the momentum of its recorded history and bends toward its projected median as the horizon lengthens, so no two cars share a future curve.

The verdict

A defensible case with reservations. Scores 65/100, ranking 36 of 104 in the over $100k band. Scarcity is the strongest input, liquidity the weakest.
Running it costs about $10,050 a year (3.5% of value), which is what the economics score measures. All in, including the projected value change, it is $6,628 a year.
The model's five year median is $318,459, a +11.0% move, with the tenth percentile at $233,900.
Value calibrated to a thin record. Treat the level as provisional.
Evidence
Thin2 recorded sales
Off its peak
-3%
Value band
wide
At least one recorded transaction plus a source. Direction is sound, the exact level less so.
Scored against every recent Australian sale this library holds, half its values land within 11.2 per cent of the price paid and the rest miss by more, in either direction. Projections are therefore damped toward flat in proportion to how little is known, and the plausible band is never narrower than the error the model is known to make.
Short term (1-5 years)$6,628 a year all in, +11.0% median value move
Long term (10-15 years)Scarcity case already formed
Negotiate from$287,000

Recorded sales

Every recorded observation, and when
3 rows on record
$355k$317k$279k
2023202420252026
the value this record published, year by yearnow $287kwhat the model expects across 6k–30k kmsolddid not sell
Every row, with its price and note (3) ↓
May 2023Shannons$290,000Not a sale
NOT A SALE. A 2018 Track Edition, a lesser model than this one, passed in at a $290,000-$330,000 estimate
Nov 2022Collecting Cars$300,000Sold
SOLD. 29 Nov 2022, Forrest ACT, 5,652km, one owner from new. Built May 2017, complied Jun 2017, first registered Oct 2018. Understood to be one of only 46 Nismos imported to Australia and one of 8 in Low Sheen Grey Metallic. 56 bids, 7,424 views
Jun 2022Collecting Cars$300,000Sold
SOLD. 24 Jun 2022, Townsville QLD, 29,880km, two owners, 2018 build. A PPSR security interest was logged against the VIN at the time of sale. 39 bids, 8,557 views. The same money as a 5,652km car five months later
2 completed Australian sales of 3 rows. Rows marked asking, no sale, or context are shown for honesty but do not count toward the evidence grade: an ask is not a transaction, a pass-in is a refusal, and a provenance or overseas result does not price the ordinary local car. The badge on every row is computed by the same rule as the grade, so the two cannot drift apart.

Score breakdown

Against the over $100k band median
104 cars in band · ink tick marks the median
Ownership economics30% of total
71/100+2
Scarcity25% of total
84/100+19
Demand durability20% of total
68/100-10
Liquidity15% of total
30/100-2
Risk resilience10% of total
42/100+8
Sub-scores run 0-100 before weighting; the weighted total is 65/100. Medians are computed live from the 104 cars currently in the over $100k band, so this picture moves when the library does.
The working behind each factor: baseline and drivers ↓
Ownership economics30% weight
71/100
Baseline80 pts
− 3.5% of value a year to run-9 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)71 pts
Scarcity25% weight
84/100
Baseline60 pts
+ Only around 90 estimated AU deliveries of the Nismo-specific hand-built engine+16 pts
+ Hand-assembled engine at a dedicated Nismo facility, genuinely limited+8 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)84 pts
Demand durability20% weight
68/100
Baseline52 pts
+ Nurburgring lap-time credentials give it strong performance-collector appeal+16 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)68 pts
Liquidity15% weight
30/100
Baseline24 pts
+ Two completed sales four years old and nothing since, 46 days on market+6 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)30 pts
Risk resilience10% weight
42/100
Baseline46 pts
− VR38DETT well proven, but Nismo tune raises servicing demands-4 pts
Sub-score (baseline plus drivers, clamped 0-100)42 pts
Model output, not advice or a valuation. Verify independently before acting.

What it costs to own · about 6,923 km a year

Annual cost of access, excl. fuel
$10,050a year
Share of value per year
3.5%
Scheduled servicing$2,60026%
Tyres, annualised$1,95019%
Registration and CTP$8008%
Insurance$2,90029%
Sinking fund (failure table)$1,80018%
All-in annualised (a different number)
Purchase (model value plus duty)$298,480
Running costs × 5 years$50,250
Median exit, net of selling cost$315,589
All-in annualised over 5 years$6,628/yr
Share of value per year2.3%
Cost of access is what the car costs to run. All-in annualised adds depreciation, duty and selling costs across a five year hold. They answer different questions and are labelled separately for that reason.
Break-even appreciation, 5 year hold
4.2%a year, only to get the money back
This library projects
+2.1%a year
The projection falls 2.1 points a year short of the hurdle. On these assumptions this car is a cost, not an asset, which can be an entirely rational thing to buy but should be bought knowing it.
Purchase$287,000
Stamp duty$11,480
Running costs x 5 years$50,250
Selling cost at exit, 1.0% of the salescales with price
Sale price needed at +5 years$352,253
Storage
Bought at
No forecast is used to compute the hurdle. It is the purchase, the duty, any premium and 5 years of running cost, grossed up for the cost of selling and spread back over the hold. The projection it is measured against is the weakest number in this product and is drawn that way in the chart above. Transport, finance and any restoration spend sit outside it.

Specification

Engine3.8L twin-turbo V6 (VR38DETT, Nismo-tune)
Power / torque441 kW / 652 Nm
0-100 km/h2.7 s
Transmission6sp dual-clutch
DriveAWD
Kerb weight1,720 kg
Built worldwide3,500
Delivered to Australia90
Effective AU survivors82
Australian sales / year8
Typical days on market46 days
Launch price$247,000

What moves the price on this model

Colour hierarchy
Super Silver+2%
Jet Black+1%
Solid Red+6%
Options
Original Nismo wheels and aero intact+3%
Full Nissan HPC service history+5%
Odometer sensitivity±1.7% per 10,000 km vs 45,000 km
Applied on top of these

Condition, history, originality, ownership, delivery and modification multipliers apply to every car in the library. They are applied automatically when an advertisement is analysed, and the schedule is set out once, on the analyser page.

Projected value in five years

Projected value at five years
$318,459
+11.0% on today
The model's figure. Today it is $287,000.
Even odds it lands between $273,981 and $379,881.
$233,900 lowhigh $435,230
The shaded range is even money and 39% wide; the outer figures bound eight outcomes in ten. Band width follows the evidence - a model with a tight measured record carries a tight band.
A stronger five year outlook than 61% of the library.
-26.6% weakest projected move in the librarystrongest +73.1%
Five-year cost of ownership
Value change alone: +$31,459 across five years.
Running costs over the same period: $50,250.
Duty and expected selling costs: $14,350.
Net cost of five years of ownership: $33,140, or $6,628 a year.
The projected value rise offsets part of the running cost. It does not make the car free to own.

The case for and against

The case for

The hand-assembled Nismo engine, built at a dedicated facility, gives it genuine mechanical exclusivity within the R35 lineage and Nurburgring lap-time credentials that carry real weight with performance collectors. Two Australian sales at $300,000 in 2022 sit far above the $215,000 this record previously inferred, and only around 90 examples reached Australia - though one listing puts the figure at 46.

The case against

Values fell in the first two years after launch and have only recently stabilised rather than clearly appreciating. Servicing the Nismo-tuned twin-turbo AWD driveline at a specialist level costs more than the standard GT-R, and the market remains niche at 46 days on market. Australia now has two completed Nismo sales, but both are from 2022 and nothing has traded publicly since, so the value rests on carrying four-year-old results forward on an assumed flat market. The two sales also made identical money at 5,652 and 29,880 kilometres, which means the odometer adjustment on this record is asserted rather than measured.

Known faults and risks

Risk 1Nismo-specific parts sourcing and lead times
Risk 2Launch control and transmission abuse a risk on unverified cars
Risk 3Specialist servicing required for the hand-built engine
Transmission clutch pack service$3,600
Turbo inspection/rebuild$4,200
Carbon aero component replacement$2,800

Similar cars, and what they cost to run

Evidence behind this valueThin · 2 recorded sales
Carried value
$287,000
Historical price
2017 · $248,0002026 · $287,000
Thin
At least one recorded transaction plus a source. Direction is sound, the exact level less so.
Two completed Australian sales, both at exactly A$300,000, and the odometers are five times apart

$300,000 at Forrest ACT on 29 November 2022, a 2017 build complied June 2017 but not registered until October 2018, one owner from new, 5,652 kilometres, 56 bids. $300,000 at Townsville QLD on 24 June 2022, a 2018 car, two owners, 29,880 kilometres, 39 bids.

Read the rest of the evidence notes (4 more)
Twenty-four thousand kilometres moved the price by nothing, and running the adjustment inverts the pair rather than explaining it

On the 1.7 per cent per 10,000 carried here, against the 45,000 kilometres this record expects, the Forrest car normalises to $281,200 and the Townsville car to $292,500 - so after the odometer term is applied, the car with a fifth of the distance is worth four per cent LESS. Two cars is not a distance curve, but an adjustment that reverses the ordering of the only two observations is not measuring anything on this record.

The record previously said there was no completed Australian sale and valued the car at $215,000 by inference from a lot that passed in

Both sales are four years old and there is nothing since, so the value now rests on a different weakness: not absent evidence, but stale evidence. $287,000 is the average of the two normalised results, $281,200 and $292,500, carried forward on a flat market - and A FLAT MARKET IS AN ASSUMPTION, not a measurement. The one thing that supports it is the May 2023 lot recorded below: a 2018 Track Edition, a lesser model, passed in at a $290,000-$330,000 estimate. A lesser car failing to clear $290,000 six months after two Nismos cleared $300,000 is consistent with a market that had stopped rising, which is what $287,000 assumes.

A documented conflict on the delivery count

The Forrest listing states the car is understood to be one of only 46 Nismos imported to Australia by Nissan, and one of eight in Low Sheen Grey Metallic. This record carries 90 Australian deliveries. The two figures may both be right if 46 covers a single model year and 90 the 2017-22 run, and they may not. The scarcity score below rests on 90 and the conflict is recorded rather than resolved, because resolving it would mean picking one source over another with no reason to.

International context

Only six R35 lots appear worldwide and three sold, a 50 per cent clearance too thin to read a direction from. Nismo results are EUR140,000 in February 2020 and US$168,000 in October 2024; an ordinary 2017 GT-R made US$78,840 in April 2021, which places the Nismo at roughly twice a standard car in the same market.

This page prices the model.
The report prices the car in the advertisement.

Send the link. A person reads the advertisement and its photographs and sends back what that Nissan GT-R Nismo is worth, what to offer and when to walk away, with five years of costs at the distance you drive.

Read a real listing report

The evidence on this model is thin and the report says so on its cover. Read a complete one on a real car first. Seventeen sections, no account, nothing to pay.

This model, today$287,000
Half of sales are further out than$32,084
The report$249
129×
the price of the report: what half of real sales of this model sit further from this page's number than, on this car
Watch this model
Told when the next one is called.

One line of email when this desk publishes a call on a Nissan GT-R Nismo, or records a new Australian sale of one. Nothing else, no schedule, and on a quiet model you may hear nothing for months, which is itself worth knowing about a car you are chasing.

Free. One address, one model, and no account.
GT-R for sale?Priced by a person, $249